Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in suburban New Orleans parishes with an R+19 partisan voting index. Longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House majority leader, won reelection in 2024 with nearly 67 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent support for Republican presidential candidates and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or major shifts in voter registration. A closed Republican primary features a challenger, but historical patterns and institutional advantages favor the incumbent advancing to the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement announcement, significant health event, or major scandal could alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$37,589 Vol.
$37,589 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$16,094 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$21,495 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in suburban New Orleans parishes with an R+19 partisan voting index. Longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House majority leader, won reelection in 2024 with nearly 67 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent support for Republican presidential candidates and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or major shifts in voter registration. A closed Republican primary features a challenger, but historical patterns and institutional advantages favor the incumbent advancing to the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement announcement, significant health event, or major scandal could alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,589Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in suburban New Orleans parishes with an R+19 partisan voting index. Longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House majority leader, won reelection in 2024 with nearly 67 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent support for Republican presidential candidates and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or major shifts in voter registration. A closed Republican primary features a challenger, but historical patterns and institutional advantages favor the incumbent advancing to the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement announcement, significant health event, or major scandal could alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,589Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in suburban New Orleans parishes with an R+19 partisan voting index. Longtime incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House majority leader, won reelection in 2024 with nearly 67 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent support for Republican presidential candidates and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers or major shifts in voter registration. A closed Republican primary features a challenger, but historical patterns and institutional advantages favor the incumbent advancing to the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement announcement, significant health event, or major scandal could alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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