Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% for the MA-03 House seat due to incumbent Lori Trahan's commanding position in this D+11 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trahan, seeking reelection, boasts $1.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025 and crushed her 2024 general election with 97.5% amid minimal opposition. Recent filings show a Democratic primary challenger in Gaige Clark and Republican Gary Grossi, but no polling indicates competitiveness, with September 1 primaries still months away. Despite a rightward swing among Hispanic voters in recent presidential races, structural advantages sustain Democratic dominance; shifts would require a Trahan scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming national GOP wave.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
91%
Parti républicain
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
91%
Parti républicain
$1,086 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% for the MA-03 House seat due to incumbent Lori Trahan's commanding position in this D+11 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trahan, seeking reelection, boasts $1.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025 and crushed her 2024 general election with 97.5% amid minimal opposition. Recent filings show a Democratic primary challenger in Gaige Clark and Republican Gary Grossi, but no polling indicates competitiveness, with September 1 primaries still months away. Despite a rightward swing among Hispanic voters in recent presidential races, structural advantages sustain Democratic dominance; shifts would require a Trahan scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming national GOP wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$1,086Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% for the MA-03 House seat due to incumbent Lori Trahan's commanding position in this D+11 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trahan, seeking reelection, boasts $1.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025 and crushed her 2024 general election with 97.5% amid minimal opposition. Recent filings show a Democratic primary challenger in Gaige Clark and Republican Gary Grossi, but no polling indicates competitiveness, with September 1 primaries still months away. Despite a rightward swing among Hispanic voters in recent presidential races, structural advantages sustain Democratic dominance; shifts would require a Trahan scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming national GOP wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,086Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% for the MA-03 House seat due to incumbent Lori Trahan's commanding position in this D+11 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trahan, seeking reelection, boasts $1.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025 and crushed her 2024 general election with 97.5% amid minimal opposition. Recent filings show a Democratic primary challenger in Gaige Clark and Republican Gary Grossi, but no polling indicates competitiveness, with September 1 primaries still months away. Despite a rightward swing among Hispanic voters in recent presidential races, structural advantages sustain Democratic dominance; shifts would require a Trahan scandal, primary upset, or overwhelming national GOP wave.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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