Trader consensus assigns a 93.5% implied probability to the Republican Party in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district House race, driven by incumbent Tim Burchett's unopposed path through the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline and subsequent GOP ballot challenges clearing primary rivals. The district's R+17 partisan voting index, Burchett's dominant 69% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising edge—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $17,000—cement its safe Republican status per Cook Political Report and other forecasters. Recent elevation to chair the House Oversight DOGE Subcommittee underscores his active incumbency. Upsets would require Burchett retirement amid Senate speculation, a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$7,631 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns a 93.5% implied probability to the Republican Party in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district House race, driven by incumbent Tim Burchett's unopposed path through the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline and subsequent GOP ballot challenges clearing primary rivals. The district's R+17 partisan voting index, Burchett's dominant 69% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising edge—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $17,000—cement its safe Republican status per Cook Political Report and other forecasters. Recent elevation to chair the House Oversight DOGE Subcommittee underscores his active incumbency. Upsets would require Burchett retirement amid Senate speculation, a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$7,631Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns a 93.5% implied probability to the Republican Party in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district House race, driven by incumbent Tim Burchett's unopposed path through the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline and subsequent GOP ballot challenges clearing primary rivals. The district's R+17 partisan voting index, Burchett's dominant 69% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising edge—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $17,000—cement its safe Republican status per Cook Political Report and other forecasters. Recent elevation to chair the House Oversight DOGE Subcommittee underscores his active incumbency. Upsets would require Burchett retirement amid Senate speculation, a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,631Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 93.5% implied probability to the Republican Party in Tennessee's 2nd congressional district House race, driven by incumbent Tim Burchett's unopposed path through the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline and subsequent GOP ballot challenges clearing primary rivals. The district's R+17 partisan voting index, Burchett's dominant 69% victory margin in 2024, and his fundraising edge—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $17,000—cement its safe Republican status per Cook Political Report and other forecasters. Recent elevation to chair the House Oversight DOGE Subcommittee underscores his active incumbency. Upsets would require Burchett retirement amid Senate speculation, a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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