California's 18th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in a seat with a pronounced Democratic partisan lean and voter registration advantage. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner because the district's electoral math and historical voting patterns strongly favor the party, with minimal recent events altering that baseline. A Republican general election victory would require an unusual surge in turnout or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a strong challenger, scenarios that lack supporting indicators at present.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-18
$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$16,688 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$18,022 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 18th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in a seat with a pronounced Democratic partisan lean and voter registration advantage. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner because the district's electoral math and historical voting patterns strongly favor the party, with minimal recent events altering that baseline. A Republican general election victory would require an unusual surge in turnout or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a strong challenger, scenarios that lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$34,710Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 18th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in a seat with a pronounced Democratic partisan lean and voter registration advantage. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner because the district's electoral math and historical voting patterns strongly favor the party, with minimal recent events altering that baseline. A Republican general election victory would require an unusual surge in turnout or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a strong challenger, scenarios that lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,710Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 18th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent in a seat with a pronounced Democratic partisan lean and voter registration advantage. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe for Democrats ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner because the district's electoral math and historical voting patterns strongly favor the party, with minimal recent events altering that baseline. A Republican general election victory would require an unusual surge in turnout or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a strong challenger, scenarios that lack supporting indicators at present.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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