Zoe Lofgren’s long incumbency and the California 18th district’s consistent Democratic lean continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November. Recent primary results on June 2 showed the incumbent Democrat advancing comfortably with a majority of the vote against a Republican challenger and other contenders, reinforcing expectations set by the district’s partisan voting index and prior 64-percent-plus margins. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republicans. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Bay Area and Central Coast district make such shifts improbable under current conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-18
$35,385 Vol.
$35,385 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
4%
$35,385 Vol.
$35,385 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$16,699 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$18,686 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Zoe Lofgren’s long incumbency and the California 18th district’s consistent Democratic lean continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November. Recent primary results on June 2 showed the incumbent Democrat advancing comfortably with a majority of the vote against a Republican challenger and other contenders, reinforcing expectations set by the district’s partisan voting index and prior 64-percent-plus margins. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republicans. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Bay Area and Central Coast district make such shifts improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,385Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Zoe Lofgren’s long incumbency and the California 18th district’s consistent Democratic lean continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November. Recent primary results on June 2 showed the incumbent Democrat advancing comfortably with a majority of the vote against a Republican challenger and other contenders, reinforcing expectations set by the district’s partisan voting index and prior 64-percent-plus margins. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republicans. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Bay Area and Central Coast district make such shifts improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,385Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Zoe Lofgren’s long incumbency and the California 18th district’s consistent Democratic lean continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic general-election victory in November. Recent primary results on June 2 showed the incumbent Democrat advancing comfortably with a majority of the vote against a Republican challenger and other contenders, reinforcing expectations set by the district’s partisan voting index and prior 64-percent-plus margins. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its voter registration patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republicans. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though structural barriers in this Bay Area and Central Coast district make such shifts improbable under current conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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