Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's dominant position in Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3 general election. Beatty's $2.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfs challenger Joe Gerard's self-funded primary bid ahead of the May 5 contest, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney advances unopposed but faces steep historical barriers in this Columbus-based district that went 69% Democratic in 2024. Recent candidate filings in February solidified this lopsided matchup post-2025 redistricting. Realistic challenges include a Beatty primary upset, late scandal or health issue, or extraordinary GOP midterm turnout surge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-03
Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-03
$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's dominant position in Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3 general election. Beatty's $2.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfs challenger Joe Gerard's self-funded primary bid ahead of the May 5 contest, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney advances unopposed but faces steep historical barriers in this Columbus-based district that went 69% Democratic in 2024. Recent candidate filings in February solidified this lopsided matchup post-2025 redistricting. Realistic challenges include a Beatty primary upset, late scandal or health issue, or extraordinary GOP midterm turnout surge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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