Trader consensus in the OH-03 House race gives Democrats a commanding 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-blue partisan lean (Cook PVI D+28) anchored in urban Columbus demographics, including strong African American voter support. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, seeking a 14th term, benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising (over $1 million cash-on-hand), and consistent landslide victories—winning 73% in 2022. Recent polls, like an August Emerson survey showing Beatty up 62%-32% over Republican Scott J. Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid quiet campaign trails with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. The November 5 general election favors the status quo, though a seismic national Republican wave, Beatty health issue, or late GOP surge in early voting could theoretically challenge odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-03
Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-03
$15,698 Vol.
$15,698 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$15,698 Vol.
$15,698 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$15,698 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the OH-03 House race gives Democrats a commanding 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-blue partisan lean (Cook PVI D+28) anchored in urban Columbus demographics, including strong African American voter support. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, seeking a 14th term, benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising (over $1 million cash-on-hand), and consistent landslide victories—winning 73% in 2022. Recent polls, like an August Emerson survey showing Beatty up 62%-32% over Republican Scott J. Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid quiet campaign trails with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. The November 5 general election favors the status quo, though a seismic national Republican wave, Beatty health issue, or late GOP surge in early voting could theoretically challenge odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$15,698Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the OH-03 House race gives Democrats a commanding 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-blue partisan lean (Cook PVI D+28) anchored in urban Columbus demographics, including strong African American voter support. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, seeking a 14th term, benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising (over $1 million cash-on-hand), and consistent landslide victories—winning 73% in 2022. Recent polls, like an August Emerson survey showing Beatty up 62%-32% over Republican Scott J. Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid quiet campaign trails with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. The November 5 general election favors the status quo, though a seismic national Republican wave, Beatty health issue, or late GOP surge in early voting could theoretically challenge odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,698Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the OH-03 House race gives Democrats a commanding 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's deep-blue partisan lean (Cook PVI D+28) anchored in urban Columbus demographics, including strong African American voter support. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, seeking a 14th term, benefits from incumbency advantages, superior fundraising (over $1 million cash-on-hand), and consistent landslide victories—winning 73% in 2022. Recent polls, like an August Emerson survey showing Beatty up 62%-32% over Republican Scott J. Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid quiet campaign trails with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. The November 5 general election favors the status quo, though a seismic national Republican wave, Beatty health issue, or late GOP surge in early voting could theoretically challenge odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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