Republican incumbent Carlos Giménez faces limited opposition in Florida’s 28th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 that has favored the party in recent cycles. The state’s newly enacted congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026 after a special legislative session, is projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide and reinforces the district’s partisan tilt. Democratic primary contenders, including Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica, have not generated widespread polling momentum or fundraising parity sufficient to alter the race rating from Solid Republican across major forecasters. With primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects these structural and incumbency factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-28
Parti républicain
90%
Parti démocrate
10%
Parti républicain
90%
Parti démocrate
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Carlos Giménez faces limited opposition in Florida’s 28th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 that has favored the party in recent cycles. The state’s newly enacted congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026 after a special legislative session, is projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide and reinforces the district’s partisan tilt. Democratic primary contenders, including Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica, have not generated widespread polling momentum or fundraising parity sufficient to alter the race rating from Solid Republican across major forecasters. With primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects these structural and incumbency factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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