Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green emerged as the general-election challenger. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s northeastern Arkansas base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Crawford’s established fundraising and name recognition. The November 3, 2026, general election offers little structural opening for an upset absent an unforeseen late-cycle event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAR-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AR-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$18,722 Vol.
$18,722 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
6%
$18,722 Vol.
$18,722 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$11,150 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$7,571 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green emerged as the general-election challenger. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s northeastern Arkansas base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Crawford’s established fundraising and name recognition. The November 3, 2026, general election offers little structural opening for an upset absent an unforeseen late-cycle event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$18,722Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green emerged as the general-election challenger. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s northeastern Arkansas base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Crawford’s established fundraising and name recognition. The November 3, 2026, general election offers little structural opening for an upset absent an unforeseen late-cycle event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,722Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arkansas’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green emerged as the general-election challenger. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s northeastern Arkansas base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Crawford’s established fundraising and name recognition. The November 3, 2026, general election offers little structural opening for an upset absent an unforeseen late-cycle event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes