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Politique·Midterms

L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ?

Market icon
Politique·Midterms

L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ?

Oui

94% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Oui

94% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada's Ballot Question 1, seeking to enshrine abortion and reproductive rights protections in the state constitution up to 24 weeks gestation, commands strong trader consensus at 80.5% for passage in the November 5, 2024, election, driven by consistent polling leads. Recent surveys, including an October Emerson College poll showing 59% Yes versus 29% No and a Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll at 57% Yes, reflect broad bipartisan support post-Dobbs, with minimal organized opposition and shrinking undecideds. While the amendment requires majority approval in two consecutive general elections for final adoption, traders price high confidence in clearing the first hurdle amid national trends favoring ballot measures codifying abortion access, absent late surprises like shifts in turnout or legal challenges.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada's Ballot Question 1, seeking to enshrine abortion and reproductive rights protections in the state constitution up to 24 weeks gestation, commands strong trader consensus at 80.5% for passage in the November 5, 2024, election, driven by consistent polling leads. Recent surveys, including an October Emerson College poll showing 59% Yes versus 29% No and a Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll at 57% Yes, reflect broad bipartisan support post-Dobbs, with minimal organized opposition and shrinking undecideds. While the amendment requires majority approval in two consecutive general elections for final adoption, traders price high confidence in clearing the first hurdle amid national trends favoring ballot measures codifying abortion access, absent late surprises like shifts in turnout or legal challenges.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « L'amendement de protection du droit à l'avortement au Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » à 79%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » est « L'amendement de protection du droit à l'avortement au Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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