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Politique·Midterms

L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ?

Market icon
Politique·Midterms

L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ?

Oui

94% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Oui

94% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Recent polls underscore strong voter support for Nevada's abortion protection constitutional amendment (Question 1), with aggregates showing yes leading 58-64%—including an Emerson College survey (59% yes, 33% no) from late October—building on its 55% approval in 2022's first vote. Pro-amendment groups have vastly outraised and outspent opponents ($20M+ vs. under $2M), amplifying messaging on reproductive rights post-Dobbs amid minimal organized resistance. This sustained momentum in the battleground state, where independents and Latinos lean supportive, drives trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for passage on November 5, though final turnout or late GOP mobilization could narrow the gap for the required simple majority ratification.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Recent polls underscore strong voter support for Nevada's abortion protection constitutional amendment (Question 1), with aggregates showing yes leading 58-64%—including an Emerson College survey (59% yes, 33% no) from late October—building on its 55% approval in 2022's first vote. Pro-amendment groups have vastly outraised and outspent opponents ($20M+ vs. under $2M), amplifying messaging on reproductive rights post-Dobbs amid minimal organized resistance. This sustained momentum in the battleground state, where independents and Latinos lean supportive, drives trader consensus to an 81% implied probability for passage on November 5, though final turnout or late GOP mobilization could narrow the gap for the required simple majority ratification.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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« L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « L'amendement de protection du droit à l'avortement au Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » à 78%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

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Le favori actuel pour « L'amendement sur la protection contre l'avortement du Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » est « L'amendement de protection du droit à l'avortement au Nevada sera-t-il adopté ? » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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