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NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 93%

Brian Varela 2.0%

Michael Roth 1.7%

Tina Shah 1.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Rebecca Bennett 93%

Brian Varela 2.0%

Michael Roth 1.7%

Tina Shah 1.3%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Rebecca Bennett

$1,684 Vol.

93%

Brian Varela

$1,350 Vol.

2%

Michael Roth

$1,384 Vol.

2%

Tina Shah

$851 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett has secured a commanding lead in the New Jersey 7th District Democratic primary through broad county party endorsements and superior fundraising, positioning her as the candidate most likely to challenge Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. Recent polling shows her support roughly double that of her closest rivals, driven by voter emphasis on flipping the seat in a competitive district where Kean has missed numerous votes amid reported absences. With the June 2 primary approaching, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. Negative advertising from opponent Tina Shah and potential shifts in turnout among unaffiliated voters represent the main variables that could still narrow her margin before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,269
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett has secured a commanding lead in the New Jersey 7th District Democratic primary through broad county party endorsements and superior fundraising, positioning her as the candidate most likely to challenge Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. Recent polling shows her support roughly double that of her closest rivals, driven by voter emphasis on flipping the seat in a competitive district where Kean has missed numerous votes amid reported absences. With the June 2 primary approaching, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. Negative advertising from opponent Tina Shah and potential shifts in turnout among unaffiliated voters represent the main variables that could still narrow her margin before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,269
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Rebecca Bennett » à 93%, suivi de « Brian Varela » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 93¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 22, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Rebecca Bennett » à 93%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Brian Varela » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.