California's 51st congressional district features a strong Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns, past election margins exceeding 20 points, and the performance of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who captured 61 percent in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select nominees for the November general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic based on turnout trends and local priorities. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural profile and limited Republican presence. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unforeseen national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in the final months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-51 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-51 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$25,026 Vol.
$25,026 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
4%
$25,026 Vol.
$25,026 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$13,046 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$11,979 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 51st congressional district features a strong Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns, past election margins exceeding 20 points, and the performance of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who captured 61 percent in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select nominees for the November general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic based on turnout trends and local priorities. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural profile and limited Republican presence. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unforeseen national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$25,026Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 51st congressional district features a strong Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns, past election margins exceeding 20 points, and the performance of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who captured 61 percent in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select nominees for the November general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic based on turnout trends and local priorities. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural profile and limited Republican presence. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unforeseen national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,026Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 51st congressional district features a strong Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns, past election margins exceeding 20 points, and the performance of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who captured 61 percent in the prior cycle. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select nominees for the November general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat solid or safe Democratic based on turnout trends and local priorities. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural profile and limited Republican presence. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unforeseen national political realignments that alter turnout or enthusiasm in the final months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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