Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, bolstered by her position as House Minority Leader, recent fundraising haul topping $800,000 in Q3 disclosures, and endorsements from establishment figures after Republicans gained House seats in the 2024 midterms. Kendall Qualls holds 31.5% on name recognition from his 2022 Senate bid and appeals to moderate voters, per the latest internal party polling. Mike Lindell's 14% draw stems from MAGA base support following his high-profile entry last month, though past election claims constrain wider backing. With the August 2026 primary distant, markets await Q4 finance reports and field clarifications amid competitive field dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLisa Demuth 53%
Kendall Qualls 32%
Mike Lindell 14%
Chris Madel <1%
$276,604 Vol.
$276,604 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
53%
Kendall Qualls
32%
Mike Lindell
14%
Chris Madel
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Patrick Knight
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
Lisa Demuth 53%
Kendall Qualls 32%
Mike Lindell 14%
Chris Madel <1%
$276,604 Vol.
$276,604 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
53%
Kendall Qualls
32%
Mike Lindell
14%
Chris Madel
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Patrick Knight
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary, bolstered by her position as House Minority Leader, recent fundraising haul topping $800,000 in Q3 disclosures, and endorsements from establishment figures after Republicans gained House seats in the 2024 midterms. Kendall Qualls holds 31.5% on name recognition from his 2022 Senate bid and appeals to moderate voters, per the latest internal party polling. Mike Lindell's 14% draw stems from MAGA base support following his high-profile entry last month, though past election claims constrain wider backing. With the August 2026 primary distant, markets await Q4 finance reports and field clarifications amid competitive field dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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