Trader consensus in the TX-33 Democratic Primary heavily favors Colin Allred at 77% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage in the Dallas-Fort Worth district, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from key labor unions and EMILY's List. Julie Johnson trails at 23.5%, bolstered by her state legislative record and recent progressive donor support, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez remain marginal due to limited visibility. Recent polls from early March show Allred leading 62-28%, unchanged since incumbent Marc Veasey's withdrawal announcement last month, which consolidated support around frontrunners; early voting data through March 1 reinforces this stability ahead of the March 5 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourColin Allred 77%
Julie Johnson 24%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$24,159 Vol.
$24,159 Vol.
Colin Allred
77%
Julie Johnson
24%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 77%
Julie Johnson 24%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$24,159 Vol.
$24,159 Vol.
Colin Allred
77%
Julie Johnson
24%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the TX-33 Democratic Primary heavily favors Colin Allred at 77% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency advantage in the Dallas-Fort Worth district, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from key labor unions and EMILY's List. Julie Johnson trails at 23.5%, bolstered by her state legislative record and recent progressive donor support, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez remain marginal due to limited visibility. Recent polls from early March show Allred leading 62-28%, unchanged since incumbent Marc Veasey's withdrawal announcement last month, which consolidated support around frontrunners; early voting data through March 1 reinforces this stability ahead of the March 5 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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