Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 74.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff against incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson on May 26, after Allred captured 44% in the March 3 first-round primary amid a crowded field. Allred's edge stems from his statewide name recognition from the 2024 Senate race, superior fundraising as shown in April filings, and endorsements from eliminated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, whose supporters now back him in the safely Democratic redrawn Dallas-area district. Recent polling averages and analyses reinforce his lead, though low runoff turnout and mobilization of Johnson's institutional base could narrow the margin ahead of early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourColin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$71,924 Vol.
$71,924 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$71,924 Vol.
$71,924 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 74.5% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff against incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson on May 26, after Allred captured 44% in the March 3 first-round primary amid a crowded field. Allred's edge stems from his statewide name recognition from the 2024 Senate race, superior fundraising as shown in April filings, and endorsements from eliminated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, whose supporters now back him in the safely Democratic redrawn Dallas-area district. Recent polling averages and analyses reinforce his lead, though low runoff turnout and mobilization of Johnson's institutional base could narrow the margin ahead of early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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