The August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 7th congressional district pits incumbent Cory Mills against challengers including Ryan Elijah, Michael Johnson, and Sarah Ulrich in a race shaped by recent debate clashes over ethics allegations and a reported federal investigation. Mills benefits from President Trump's endorsement and incumbency advantages in Seminole and southern Volusia counties, yet traders assign him a 38.5% implied probability amid questions about his record. Elijah holds the leading 58.5% consensus, supported by higher fundraising, endorsements from fellow Florida Republicans, and local name recognition as a former news anchor. The tight positioning reflects uncertainty over how ethics concerns and late-campaign momentum will influence turnout among conservative primary voters before ballots close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRyan Elijah 59%
Cory Mills 38%
Sarah Ulrich 1.0%
Mike Johnson <1%
$12,429 Vol.
$12,429 Vol.
Ryan Elijah
59%
Cory Mills
38%
Sarah Ulrich
1%
Mike Johnson
1%
Ryan Elijah 59%
Cory Mills 38%
Sarah Ulrich 1.0%
Mike Johnson <1%
$12,429 Vol.
$12,429 Vol.
Ryan Elijah
59%
Cory Mills
38%
Sarah Ulrich
1%
Mike Johnson
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 7th congressional district pits incumbent Cory Mills against challengers including Ryan Elijah, Michael Johnson, and Sarah Ulrich in a race shaped by recent debate clashes over ethics allegations and a reported federal investigation. Mills benefits from President Trump's endorsement and incumbency advantages in Seminole and southern Volusia counties, yet traders assign him a 38.5% implied probability amid questions about his record. Elijah holds the leading 58.5% consensus, supported by higher fundraising, endorsements from fellow Florida Republicans, and local name recognition as a former news anchor. The tight positioning reflects uncertainty over how ethics concerns and late-campaign momentum will influence turnout among conservative primary voters before ballots close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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