Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% implied probability in the closely contested MI-13 Democratic primary, buoyed by incumbency advantages, name recognition, and self-funding capacity in the safely Democratic Detroit-area district, while state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 36% on momentum from progressive endorsements by Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and David Hogg's group. McKinney gained visibility from Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 4 rally in Detroit drawing over 1,300 attendees, yet Thanedar's hold persists amid a fragmented five-candidate field. No public polls exist; the August 4 primary looms as key voting blocs like Black voters and progressives could tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourShri Thanedar 54%
Donavan McKinney 36%
Shelby Campbell 4.9%
Nazmul Hassan 3.1%
$22,846 Vol.
$22,846 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
54%
Donavan McKinney
36%
Shelby Campbell
5%
Nazmul Hassan
3%
Anthony Carbonaro
3%
Shri Thanedar 54%
Donavan McKinney 36%
Shelby Campbell 4.9%
Nazmul Hassan 3.1%
$22,846 Vol.
$22,846 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
54%
Donavan McKinney
36%
Shelby Campbell
5%
Nazmul Hassan
3%
Anthony Carbonaro
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% implied probability in the closely contested MI-13 Democratic primary, buoyed by incumbency advantages, name recognition, and self-funding capacity in the safely Democratic Detroit-area district, while state Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 36% on momentum from progressive endorsements by Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and David Hogg's group. McKinney gained visibility from Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 4 rally in Detroit drawing over 1,300 attendees, yet Thanedar's hold persists amid a fragmented five-candidate field. No public polls exist; the August 4 primary looms as key voting blocs like Black voters and progressives could tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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