Redistricting has solidified Texas's 33rd congressional district as a strongly Democratic seat, with Kamala Harris carrying it by more than 30 points in 2024 and the new lines further concentrating Democratic-leaning voters in Dallas, Irving, and Grand Prairie areas. The Democratic nominee emerging from the May 26 runoff between incumbent Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will enter the November general election with a commanding structural advantage, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent. Republican candidates advancing from their own primary runoff face limited path-to-victory options in this environment. Factors that could still shift probabilities include an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandals, or unusually high turnout among suburban Republican voters, though such developments remain low-probability events given historical performance in comparable districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-33 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-33 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
92%
Parti républicain
8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$2,553 Vol.
92%
Parti républicain
$155 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has solidified Texas's 33rd congressional district as a strongly Democratic seat, with Kamala Harris carrying it by more than 30 points in 2024 and the new lines further concentrating Democratic-leaning voters in Dallas, Irving, and Grand Prairie areas. The Democratic nominee emerging from the May 26 runoff between incumbent Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will enter the November general election with a commanding structural advantage, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent. Republican candidates advancing from their own primary runoff face limited path-to-victory options in this environment. Factors that could still shift probabilities include an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandals, or unusually high turnout among suburban Republican voters, though such developments remain low-probability events given historical performance in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,708Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has solidified Texas's 33rd congressional district as a strongly Democratic seat, with Kamala Harris carrying it by more than 30 points in 2024 and the new lines further concentrating Democratic-leaning voters in Dallas, Irving, and Grand Prairie areas. The Democratic nominee emerging from the May 26 runoff between incumbent Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will enter the November general election with a commanding structural advantage, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent. Republican candidates advancing from their own primary runoff face limited path-to-victory options in this environment. Factors that could still shift probabilities include an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandals, or unusually high turnout among suburban Republican voters, though such developments remain low-probability events given historical performance in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,708Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has solidified Texas's 33rd congressional district as a strongly Democratic seat, with Kamala Harris carrying it by more than 30 points in 2024 and the new lines further concentrating Democratic-leaning voters in Dallas, Irving, and Grand Prairie areas. The Democratic nominee emerging from the May 26 runoff between incumbent Julie Johnson and Colin Allred will enter the November general election with a commanding structural advantage, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 90 percent. Republican candidates advancing from their own primary runoff face limited path-to-victory options in this environment. Factors that could still shift probabilities include an unforeseen national political wave, significant candidate scandals, or unusually high turnout among suburban Republican voters, though such developments remain low-probability events given historical performance in comparable districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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