Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJill Tokuda 100.0%
Kirill Basin 2.2%
Greg Guithues <1%
Steven King <1%
$7,021 Vol.
$7,021 Vol.
8 août 2026
Greg Guithues
Non
Steven King
Non
Jill Tokuda
Oui
Kirill Basin
Non
Jill Tokuda 100.0%
Kirill Basin 2.2%
Greg Guithues <1%
Steven King <1%
$7,021 Vol.
$7,021 Vol.
8 août 2026
Greg Guithues
$360 Vol.
Non
Steven King
$364 Vol.
Non
Jill Tokuda
$5,504 Vol.
Oui
Kirill Basin
$792 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,021Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,021Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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