Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District at 78.5% implied probability, well ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 18.0%. The positioning stems from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of the first-term Queens assemblywoman and Democratic Socialists of America ally, which has mobilized youthful volunteers and organizational resources in the Brooklyn-Queens district. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso at 23% to 21% among likely primary voters, with 43% undecided, while Valdez also edged the field in early fundraising. Reynoso, the Brooklyn borough president backed by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez and organized labor, retains institutional support but trails in market pricing that reflects Valdez’s turnout advantages and the progressive coalition dynamics ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourClaire Valdez 79%
Antonio Reynoso 18%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$129,594 Vol.
$129,594 Vol.
Claire Valdez
79%
Antonio Reynoso
18%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 79%
Antonio Reynoso 18%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$129,594 Vol.
$129,594 Vol.
Claire Valdez
79%
Antonio Reynoso
18%
Julie Won
<1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez leads trader consensus in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District at 78.5% implied probability, well ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 18.0%. The positioning stems from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of the first-term Queens assemblywoman and Democratic Socialists of America ally, which has mobilized youthful volunteers and organizational resources in the Brooklyn-Queens district. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso at 23% to 21% among likely primary voters, with 43% undecided, while Valdez also edged the field in early fundraising. Reynoso, the Brooklyn borough president backed by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez and organized labor, retains institutional support but trails in market pricing that reflects Valdez’s turnout advantages and the progressive coalition dynamics ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes