**Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid escalating military pressure.** Recent US strikes on March 29 targeted four Iranian ballistic missile production facilities, following a 15-point US proposal demanding dismantlement of Tehran's nuclear program, end to uranium enrichment, missile limits, and curbs on regional militias—terms Iran has rejected while denying active talks. President Trump threatened on March 30 to destroy Iran's Kharg Island oil hub if no agreement emerges soon, signaling diplomacy's subordination to sanctions and potential energy infrastructure attacks. Iranian officials demand US compensation for "aggression" and no deadlines, widening gaps with just one month left; historical JCPOA revival failures underscore barriers to consensus before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAccord nucléaire américano-iranien d'ici le 30 avril ?
Accord nucléaire américano-iranien d'ici le 30 avril ?
Oui
$132,166 Vol.
$132,166 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Oui
$132,166 Vol.
$132,166 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid escalating military pressure.** Recent US strikes on March 29 targeted four Iranian ballistic missile production facilities, following a 15-point US proposal demanding dismantlement of Tehran's nuclear program, end to uranium enrichment, missile limits, and curbs on regional militias—terms Iran has rejected while denying active talks. President Trump threatened on March 30 to destroy Iran's Kharg Island oil hub if no agreement emerges soon, signaling diplomacy's subordination to sanctions and potential energy infrastructure attacks. Iranian officials demand US compensation for "aggression" and no deadlines, widening gaps with just one month left; historical JCPOA revival failures underscore barriers to consensus before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$132,166Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid escalating military pressure.** Recent US strikes on March 29 targeted four Iranian ballistic missile production facilities, following a 15-point US proposal demanding dismantlement of Tehran's nuclear program, end to uranium enrichment, missile limits, and curbs on regional militias—terms Iran has rejected while denying active talks. President Trump threatened on March 30 to destroy Iran's Kharg Island oil hub if no agreement emerges soon, signaling diplomacy's subordination to sanctions and potential energy infrastructure attacks. Iranian officials demand US compensation for "aggression" and no deadlines, widening gaps with just one month left; historical JCPOA revival failures underscore barriers to consensus before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$132,166Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid escalating military pressure.** Recent US strikes on March 29 targeted four Iranian ballistic missile production facilities, following a 15-point US proposal demanding dismantlement of Tehran's nuclear program, end to uranium enrichment, missile limits, and curbs on regional militias—terms Iran has rejected while denying active talks. President Trump threatened on March 30 to destroy Iran's Kharg Island oil hub if no agreement emerges soon, signaling diplomacy's subordination to sanctions and potential energy infrastructure attacks. Iranian officials demand US compensation for "aggression" and no deadlines, widening gaps with just one month left; historical JCPOA revival failures underscore barriers to consensus before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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