Direct US-Iran diplomatic talks, the highest-level engagement since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, occurred April 11-12 in Islamabad with Pakistani mediation, featuring Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; however, marathon sessions yielded no deal amid disputes over Iran's nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and war reparations. As of April 18, Tehran reports no date set for a second round pending a preliminary framework, while a US naval blockade of Iranian ports persists and the two-week ceasefire—agreed April 7—nears expiration around April 22. Back-channel diplomacy continues via Pakistan and others, but escalation risks from unresolved tensions shape trader assessments of further negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
Réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$2,851,925 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
18 avril
<1%
19 avril
3%
20 avril
17%
21 avril
37%
22 avril
58%
30 avril
76%
$2,851,925 Vol.
18 avril
$1,086,120 Vol.
<1%
19 avril
$176,721 Vol.
3%
20 avril
$174,600 Vol.
17%
21 avril
$87,533 Vol.
37%
22 avril
$525,566 Vol.
58%
30 avril
$306,907 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Direct US-Iran diplomatic talks, the highest-level engagement since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, occurred April 11-12 in Islamabad with Pakistani mediation, featuring Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; however, marathon sessions yielded no deal amid disputes over Iran's nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and war reparations. As of April 18, Tehran reports no date set for a second round pending a preliminary framework, while a US naval blockade of Iranian ports persists and the two-week ceasefire—agreed April 7—nears expiration around April 22. Back-channel diplomacy continues via Pakistan and others, but escalation risks from unresolved tensions shape trader assessments of further negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$2,851,925Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Direct US-Iran diplomatic talks, the highest-level engagement since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, occurred April 11-12 in Islamabad with Pakistani mediation, featuring Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; however, marathon sessions yielded no deal amid disputes over Iran's nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and war reparations. As of April 18, Tehran reports no date set for a second round pending a preliminary framework, while a US naval blockade of Iranian ports persists and the two-week ceasefire—agreed April 7—nears expiration around April 22. Back-channel diplomacy continues via Pakistan and others, but escalation risks from unresolved tensions shape trader assessments of further negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,851,925Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Direct US-Iran diplomatic talks, the highest-level engagement since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, occurred April 11-12 in Islamabad with Pakistani mediation, featuring Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; however, marathon sessions yielded no deal amid disputes over Iran's nuclear enrichment, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and war reparations. As of April 18, Tehran reports no date set for a second round pending a preliminary framework, while a US naval blockade of Iranian ports persists and the two-week ceasefire—agreed April 7—nears expiration around April 22. Back-channel diplomacy continues via Pakistan and others, but escalation risks from unresolved tensions shape trader assessments of further negotiations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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