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Politique·Corée Du Sud

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026

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Politique·Corée Du Sud

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026

Chun Jae-soo 70%

Park Heong-joon 24%

Choi In-ho 1.6%

Cho Kuk 1.3%

Polymarket

$214,277 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo 70%

Park Heong-joon 24%

Choi In-ho 1.6%

Cho Kuk 1.3%

Polymarket

$214,277 Vol.

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Chun Jae-soo

$28,390 Vol.

70%

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Park Heong-joon

$10,010 Vol.

24%

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Choi In-ho

$31,959 Vol.

2%

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Cho Kuk

$64,203 Vol.

1%

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Cho Kyoung-tae

$5,300 Vol.

1%

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Lee Jae-sung

$3,047 Vol.

1%

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Suh Byung-soo

$51,439 Vol.

1%

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Park Seong-hoon

$3,000 Vol.

<1%

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Hong Soon-heon

$3,194 Vol.

<1%

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Kim Do-eup

$5,580 Vol.

<1%

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Park Jae-ho

$3,453 Vol.

<1%

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Kim Young-choon

$4,702 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus strongly favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 70% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late February through March showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10–20 points in head-to-head matchups, such as 43% to 35% and 40% suitability to 20%. The Democratic Party confirmed a primary between Chun and Lee Jae-sung on March 27, with Chun's frontrunner status intact despite an ongoing police probe into alleged Unification Church ties and political funds violations. Park Heong-joon trails at 24%, buoyed by incumbency but hampered by his party's sagging approval ratings around 19% nationally; he faces a People Power Party primary against Rep. Joo Jin-woo, highlighted by their March 27 TV debate. Opposition momentum in conservative Busan underscores key battleground dynamics ahead of local elections.

Trader consensus strongly favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 70% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late February through March showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10–20 points in head-to-head matchups, such as 43% to 35% and 40% suitability to 20%. The Democratic Party confirmed a primary between Chun and Lee Jae-sung on March 27, with Chun's frontrunner status intact despite an ongoing police probe into alleged Unification Church ties and political funds violations. Park Heong-joon trails at 24%, buoyed by incumbency but hampered by his party's sagging approval ratings around 19% nationally; he faces a People Power Party primary against Rep. Joo Jin-woo, highlighted by their March 27 TV debate. Opposition momentum in conservative Busan underscores key battleground dynamics ahead of local elections.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus strongly favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 70% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late February through March showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10–20 points in head-to-head matchups, such as 43% to 35% and 40% suitability to 20%. The Democratic Party confirmed a primary between Chun and Lee Jae-sung on March 27, with Chun's frontrunner status intact despite an ongoing police probe into alleged Unification Church ties and political funds violations. Park Heong-joon trails at 24%, buoyed by incumbency but hampered by his party's sagging approval ratings around 19% nationally; he faces a People Power Party primary against Rep. Joo Jin-woo, highlighted by their March 27 TV debate. Opposition momentum in conservative Busan underscores key battleground dynamics ahead of local elections.

Trader consensus strongly favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 70% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, reflecting consistent opinion polls from late February through March showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10–20 points in head-to-head matchups, such as 43% to 35% and 40% suitability to 20%. The Democratic Party confirmed a primary between Chun and Lee Jae-sung on March 27, with Chun's frontrunner status intact despite an ongoing police probe into alleged Unification Church ties and political funds violations. Park Heong-joon trails at 24%, buoyed by incumbency but hampered by his party's sagging approval ratings around 19% nationally; he faces a People Power Party primary against Rep. Joo Jin-woo, highlighted by their March 27 TV debate. Opposition momentum in conservative Busan underscores key battleground dynamics ahead of local elections.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chun Jae-soo » à 70%, suivi de « Park Heong-joon » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 70¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026 » a généré $214.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026 », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026 » est « Chun Jae-soo » à 70%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Park Heong-joon » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.