Trader consensus heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 84% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial by-election on April 2, driven by his consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including Realmeter's March 27-28 survey showing him at 51% versus Kim Jin-tae's 40%. Record early voting turnout of 28.5% on March 28-29— the highest for any provincial by-election—has bolstered sentiment toward the Democratic Party candidate amid stable voter preferences. Kim Jin-tae of the People Power Party trails at 15%, reflecting conservative challenges in flipping the seat vacated by former governor Lee Kwang-jae's resignation over election law violations. Minor candidates hold negligible shares, with no late-breaking developments altering the closely tracked polling trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de la province de Gangwon
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de la province de Gangwon
Woo Sang-ho 84%
Kim Jin-tae 15%
Song Gi-heon <1%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
$305,358 Vol.
$305,358 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
15%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
84%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
Woo Sang-ho 84%
Kim Jin-tae 15%
Song Gi-heon <1%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
$305,358 Vol.
$305,358 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
15%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
84%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Marché ouvert : Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Woo Sang-ho at 84% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province gubernatorial by-election on April 2, driven by his consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including Realmeter's March 27-28 survey showing him at 51% versus Kim Jin-tae's 40%. Record early voting turnout of 28.5% on March 28-29— the highest for any provincial by-election—has bolstered sentiment toward the Democratic Party candidate amid stable voter preferences. Kim Jin-tae of the People Power Party trails at 15%, reflecting conservative challenges in flipping the seat vacated by former governor Lee Kwang-jae's resignation over election law violations. Minor candidates hold negligible shares, with no late-breaking developments altering the closely tracked polling trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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