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Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

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Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) 100.0%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) <1%

Jatiya Party (JP(E)) <1%

Workers’ Party of Bangladesh (WPB) <1%

Polymarket

$3,136,291 Vol.

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) 100.0%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) <1%

Jatiya Party (JP(E)) <1%

Workers’ Party of Bangladesh (WPB) <1%

Polymarket

$3,136,291 Vol.

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Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

$1,261,452 Vol.

No

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Jatiya Party (JP(E))

$75,810 Vol.

No

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Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

$1,020,384 Vol.

Yes

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Workers’ Party of Bangladesh (WPB)

$68,877 Vol.

No

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Gono Odhikar Parishad (GOP)

$92,201 Vol.

No

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Islami Andolan Bangladesh (IAD)

$255,792 Vol.

No

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National Citizen Party (NCP)

$293,328 Vol.

No

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Jatiya Samajtantrik Dal (JSD)

$68,447 Vol.

No

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad), in this election.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the House of the Nation in this election. If additional seats are contested after the results of this election are made official (i.e. seats reserved for women are contested at a later date), those seats will not be considered for resolution of this market. If a second house of the Bangladeshi parliament is established, seats in that house will not be considered for resolution of this market.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
Volume
$3,136,291
End Date
Feb 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad), in this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the House of the Nation in this election. If additional seats are contested after the results of this election are made official (i.e. seats reserved for women are contested at a later date), those seats will not be considered for resolution of this market. If a second house of the Bangladeshi parliament is established, seats in that house will not be considered for resolution of this market. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)" at 100%, followed by "Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner" is "Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.