Creators predictions & odds

Tech·Big Tech

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

$2M Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$2M Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Esports

Esports Awards: Esports Content Creator of the Year

$57.5K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

45%

Jynxzi

$57.5K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Mentions·Social Media

Myspace relaunched in 2026?

$107 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

21%

$107 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

$491 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

56%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Sports·Games

New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC - Player Props

$194 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

99%

Yes

$194 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

$26.1K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

87%

December 31, 2027

$26.1K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs KUUSAMO.gg - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

50%

Benched gods

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Tech·AI

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

$540 Vol.

$889 Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

12%

December 31, 2026

$540 Vol.

$889 Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

$67.4K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

58%

Morgan Stanley

$67.4K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Sports·Games

Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy - Player Props

$103 Vol.

$10 Liq.

50%

Yes

$103 Vol.

$10 Liq.

Tech·AI

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

$15.8K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

73%

October 31

$15.8K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group C

$797 Vol.

$814 Liq.

94%

BORRACHEIROS

$797 Vol.

$814 Liq.

Tech·AI

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

$11 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

$11 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

$7.2K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

92%

October 31

$7.2K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Culture·Art

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

$2.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

75%

$2.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

$26.3K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

91%

December 31

$26.3K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sports·Games

Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC - Player Props

$0 Vol.

$502 Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$502 Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$373K Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

94%

Anthropic

$373K Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

$5.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

90%

September 24

$5.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Will FaZe Make a Roster Change by December 31?

$122 Vol.

$83 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

23%

$122 Vol.

$83 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Creators.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Creators that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Satoshi's identity be proven by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Satoshi's identity be proven by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Creators predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Creators shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Creators prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Satoshi's identity be proven by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Creators prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Creators predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Creators prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Creators markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Creators prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Creators predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Creators odds?

Can I track Creators predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Creators markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Creators prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Creators markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Creators prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Creators predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Creators odds?

Can I track Creators predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Creators markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Creators predictions & odds