OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to file a confidential IPO prospectus with regulators in the coming weeks, supported by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the main driver behind the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. Recent reporting shows the company targeting readiness as early as September or Q4 2026 amid strong artificial intelligence demand and competitive pressure in the large language model space. Anthropic, valued near $900 billion after recent funding, continues advancing toward a possible October or later Q4 window but lacks equivalent late-May momentum on filing timelines. Traders assess these execution differences against typical large-cap IPO risks such as market conditions and regulatory reviews, with OpenAI’s recent progress creating the clearest near-term edge between the two leading AI developers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnthropic
$63,906 Vol.
$63,906 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$63,906 Vol.
$63,906 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to file a confidential IPO prospectus with regulators in the coming weeks, supported by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the main driver behind the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. Recent reporting shows the company targeting readiness as early as September or Q4 2026 amid strong artificial intelligence demand and competitive pressure in the large language model space. Anthropic, valued near $900 billion after recent funding, continues advancing toward a possible October or later Q4 window but lacks equivalent late-May momentum on filing timelines. Traders assess these execution differences against typical large-cap IPO risks such as market conditions and regulatory reviews, with OpenAI’s recent progress creating the clearest near-term edge between the two leading AI developers.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$63,906Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to file a confidential IPO prospectus with regulators in the coming weeks, supported by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the main driver behind the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. Recent reporting shows the company targeting readiness as early as September or Q4 2026 amid strong artificial intelligence demand and competitive pressure in the large language model space. Anthropic, valued near $900 billion after recent funding, continues advancing toward a possible October or later Q4 window but lacks equivalent late-May momentum on filing timelines. Traders assess these execution differences against typical large-cap IPO risks such as market conditions and regulatory reviews, with OpenAI’s recent progress creating the clearest near-term edge between the two leading AI developers.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$63,906Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to file a confidential IPO prospectus with regulators in the coming weeks, supported by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the main driver behind the 75.5% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. Recent reporting shows the company targeting readiness as early as September or Q4 2026 amid strong artificial intelligence demand and competitive pressure in the large language model space. Anthropic, valued near $900 billion after recent funding, continues advancing toward a possible October or later Q4 window but lacks equivalent late-May momentum on filing timelines. Traders assess these execution differences against typical large-cap IPO risks such as market conditions and regulatory reviews, with OpenAI’s recent progress creating the clearest near-term edge between the two leading AI developers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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