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Tech predictions & odds

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Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

77%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$399K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Largest Company end of June?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of June?

83%

NVIDIA

$11M Vol.

$350K today

$980K Liq.

80

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of May?
Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of May?

86%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$143K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?
Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

64%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$74.4K today

$1M Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.2 released by...?
Tech·AI

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

96%

June 30

$200K Vol.

$56.0K today

$68.2K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Tech·Elon Musk

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

51%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$141K Liq.

231

Ends in over 1 year

Largest Company end of December 2026?
Tech·AI

Largest Company end of December 2026?

59%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$552K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

IPOs before 2027?
Tech·Big Tech

IPOs before 2027?

100%

Cerebras

$6M Vol.

$94.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

43%

$312K Vol.

$36.3K Liq.

36

Ends in 8 months

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)
Tech·AI

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

100%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$45.8K Vol.

$167K Liq.

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

14%

JetBlue

$46.4K Vol.

$138K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Odyssey Therapeutics IPO Closing Market Cap

Odyssey Therapeutics IPO Closing Market Cap

56%

<$0.8B

$17.4K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Mobia Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

Mobia Medical IPO Closing Market Cap

86%

<$500M

$19.5K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Claude 5 released by…?
Tech·AI

Claude 5 released by…?

81%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

203

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

57%

Anthropic

$64.9K Vol.

$55.0K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
Tech·AI

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

45%

12+

$23.1K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?
Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

75%

1460+

$62.2K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

92%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$35.0K Liq.

44

Gemini 3.2 released on...?
Tech·AI

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

36%

May 19

$41.3K Vol.

$97.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 22 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Tech·AI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

77%

Anthropic

$313K Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest Company end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.