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Math predictions & odds

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Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

48%

Anthropic

$46.5K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

22%

50%+

$60.0K Vol.

$697 Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

41%

60%+

$30.2K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

45%

1525

$2.5K Vol.

$193 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

74%

1520

$4.7K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

90%

40%+

$131K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

57%

25%+

$20.8K Vol.

$942 Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

81%

$4.7K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

40%

Kimi Antonelli

$142M Vol.

$889K today

$12M Liq.

183

Ends in 7 months

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

52%

Bayern München

$1M Vol.

$470K today

$130K Liq.

17

Ends in about 15 hours

F1 Constructors' Champion

F1 Constructors' Champion

74%

Mercedes

$16M Vol.

$392K today

$1M Liq.

25

Ends in 7 months

MLS Cup Winner 2026

MLS Cup Winner 2026

17%

Inter Miami CF

$17M Vol.

$55.7K today

$984K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

EPL: Team to qualify for UEFA Champions League

EPL: Team to qualify for UEFA Champions League

97%

Aston Villa

$126K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 4 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

97%

Reform

$268K Vol.

$103K Liq.

4

Ends in about 15 hours

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

85%

$325K Vol.

$63.9K Liq.

18

Ends in 25 days

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

98%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$2M Vol.

$275K Liq.

2

Ends in 28 days

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

91%

Labour

$132K Vol.

$77.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 15 hours

FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

97%

Spain

$7.1K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion

UEFA Champions League: Home country of champion

41%

England

$78.3K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

LaLiga: Team to qualify for UEFA Champions League

LaLiga: Team to qualify for UEFA Champions League

98%

Atlético de Madrid

$10.1K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Math.

Polymarket currently hosts 176 active markets for Math that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $178.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “F1 Drivers' Champion,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “F1 Drivers' Champion,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to Kimi Antonelli. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Math predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.