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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

1%

$7m Vol.

$63.3k today

$90.7k Liq.

326

Ends in 13 days

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

Science

Business

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before 2026

$121k Vol.

$59.7k today

$10.4k Liq.

5

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

55%

2

$559k Vol.

$51.9k today

$18.8k Liq.

12

Ends in 13 days

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Science

Culture

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

1%

$787k Vol.

$41.3k Liq.

51

Ends in 13 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

55%

1550–1599

$56.4k Vol.

$7.4k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

$94.1k Vol.

$89.1k Liq.

13

Ends in about 1 year

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in December?

25%

4-5"

$75.1k Vol.

$7.3k Liq.

5

Ends in 13 days

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

55%

1.00–1.04ºC

$70.5k Vol.

$28.5k Liq.

Ends in 23 days

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

3%

$342k Vol.

$7.3k Liq.

18

Ends in 13 days

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

89%

2000

$1m Vol.

$9.9k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

94%

$152k Vol.

$7.0k Liq.

10

Ends in 13 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

11%

$196k Vol.

$61.8k Liq.

20

Ends in about 1 year

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Science

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

99%

$69.7k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

20

Ends in 13 days

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

12%

$23.6k Vol.

$13.3k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 year

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

50%

December 31, 2025

$51.3k Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Science

Weather

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

1%

$2m Vol.

$55.4k Liq.

59

Ends in 13 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Science

SpaceX

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

94%

$27.6k Vol.

$875 Liq.

7

Ends in 13 days

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

98%

160-179

$444k Vol.

$32.5k Liq.

11

Ends in 13 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

3%

$104k Vol.

$2.0k Liq.

3

Ends in 13 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2025?

99%

4-6

$555k Vol.

$80.0k Liq.

Ends in 13 days