Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Science·Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

17%

December 31

$19M Vol.

$426K today

$3M Liq.

778

Ends in 9 months

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

100%

1500

$276K Vol.

$29.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

88%

SpaceX

$1M Vol.

$236K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑2k

$7M Vol.

$73.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 23 - March 29?
Science·Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 23 - March 29?

53%

0

$20.3K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

99%

150+

$134K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Precipitation in Seattle in March?
Science·Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

42%

5-6"

$103K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

30%

11–13

$1M Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Science·Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

41%

2

$2M Vol.

$110K Liq.

19

Ends in 9 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

34%

8+

$1M Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

39%

<5

$293K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

38%

$271K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Science·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

49%

2.0T+

$365K Vol.

$57.9K Liq.

8

Ends in almost 2 years

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Science·Weather

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.20–1.24ºC

$166K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

36%

160-179

$227K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Science·Weather

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

39%

$283K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Science·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

54%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$1M Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

34

Precipitation in NYC in March?
Science·Weather

Precipitation in NYC in March?

34%

4-5"

$99.9K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

NASA Artemis II
Science·SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

76%

April 30

$640K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

91

Ends in 10 days

Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Science·Weather

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

49%

$314K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Science.

Polymarket currently hosts 167 active markets for Science that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Science predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.