44 Science prediction markets

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Science

Weather

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

41%

$202k Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

8

Ends in 12 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

31%

11–13

$251k Vol.

$81.1k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

67%

8+

$626k Vol.

$58.4k Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

62%

1.05–1.09ºC

$498k Vol.

$73.2k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

9%

$372k Vol.

$79.2k Liq.

38

Ends in 12 months

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

Science

Business

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

<1%

No IPO before 2026

$160k Vol.

$237k Liq.

8

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Science

SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

26%

$34.7k Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 12 months

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

73%

4th or lower

$102k Vol.

$12.5k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

23%

1.10–1.14ºC

$155k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

75%

<1550

$404k Vol.

$25.0k Liq.

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Science

Weather

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

47%

0

$98.0k Vol.

$21.3k Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 year

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 11?

Science

Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 11?

59%

0

$35.6k Vol.

$6.0k Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Science

Weather

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

1%

$2m Vol.

$43.1k Liq.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑500

$27.7k Vol.

$11.5k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

26%

$59.6k Vol.

$19.7k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

45%

4

$954k Vol.

$56.4k Liq.

12

Ends in 12 months

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Science

Culture

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

98%

$258k Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

100%

4th or lower

$124k Vol.

$59.5k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$299k Vol.

$93.0k Liq.

22

Ends in 12 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Science

Weather

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

$12.7k Vol.

$22.4k Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year