Science predictions & odds

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Human moon landing in 2026?

Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

$2m Vol.

$458k today

$31.1k Liq.

21

Ends in 11 months

8%

$2m Vol.

$458k today

$31.1k Liq.

21

Ends in 11 months

NASA Artemis II

Science

NASA Artemis II

$196k Vol.

$66.6k today

$19.5k Liq.

29

Ends in about 2 months

86%

March 31

$196k Vol.

$66.6k today

$19.5k Liq.

29

Ends in about 2 months

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$687k Vol.

$62.2k today

$40.8k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

55%

1.05–1.09ºC

$687k Vol.

$62.2k today

$40.8k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

$2m Vol.

$52.6k today

$189k Liq.

107

Ends in 11 months

10%

$2m Vol.

$52.6k today

$189k Liq.

107

Ends in 11 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1?

Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1?

$180k Vol.

$1m Liq.

<1%

1

$180k Vol.

$1m Liq.

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$242k Vol.

$3.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

88%

March 31

$242k Vol.

$3.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$6m Vol.

$26.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

99%

↑1k

$6m Vol.

$26.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$927k Vol.

$38.5k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

52%

8+

$927k Vol.

$38.5k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$454k Vol.

$38.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

31%

11–13

$454k Vol.

$38.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$227k Vol.

$3.4k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

43%

$227k Vol.

$3.4k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

$51.4k Vol.

$10.5k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

53%

0

$51.4k Vol.

$10.5k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

How many SpaceX launches in February?

Science

How many SpaceX launches in February?

$28.0k Vol.

$11.5k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

83%

11 or more

$28.0k Vol.

$11.5k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$109k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

31%

7-8

$109k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Science

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$154k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

48%

$154k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Science

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$37.6k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

83%

$37.6k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

Science

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

$74.6k Vol.

$15.3k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

94%

800

$74.6k Vol.

$15.3k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$766k Vol.

$9.3k Liq.

7

62%

Successful splash down?

$766k Vol.

$9.3k Liq.

7

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

Science

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

$7.1k Vol.

$2.9k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

36%

3-4"

$7.1k Vol.

$2.9k Liq.

Ends in 25 days

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$17.3k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

61%

4th or lower

$17.3k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Science

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

$460k Vol.

$54.4k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

10%

$460k Vol.

$54.4k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

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