Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Science·Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

11%

$2M Vol.

$201K today

$256K Liq.

131

Ends in 11 months

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Science·Weather

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

41%

1.15–1.19ºC

$294K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in February?
Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in February?

74%

30–59

$109K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?
Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

99%

1000

$495K Vol.

$60.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Science·Awards

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

80%

Hong Wang

$122K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

20%

$110K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

29%

5-6

$231K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

NASA Artemis II
Science·SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

69%

April 30

$414K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

50

Ends in about 1 month

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

30%

11–13

$638K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Science·Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

42%

2

$1M Vol.

$79.7K Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

Precipitation in Seattle in February?
Science·Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

42%

3-4"

$173K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Science·Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

$474K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

24

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

35%

160-179

$140K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$222K Vol.

$71.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Science·Weather

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

54%

1

$358K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Science·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$1M Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

14

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 6, 2026?
Science·Pandemics

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 6, 2026?

67%

60–70

$28.9K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑1k

$7M Vol.

$62.3K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
Science·Weather

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

94%

4th or lower

$239K Vol.

$62.2K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Science·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

42%

2.0T+

$202K Vol.

$52.2K Liq.

6

Ends in almost 2 years

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Science.

Polymarket currently hosts 49 active markets for Science that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑500. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Science predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.