Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Science·Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

19%

$18M Vol.

$475K today

$1M Liq.

754

Ends in 10 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
Science·Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

99%

150+

$113K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Science·Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

36%

8+

$1M Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 months

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

100%

1400

$215K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

87%

SpaceX

$1M Vol.

$227K Liq.

9

Ends in 10 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Science·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

51%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

34

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 10, 2026?
Science·Pandemics

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 10, 2026?

56%

70–80

$32.4K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Science·Weather

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

34%

1.20–1.24ºC

$158K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Science·Awards

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

85%

Hong Wang

$329K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Precipitation in NYC in March?
Science·Weather

Precipitation in NYC in March?

44%

3-4"

$88.8K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

44%

<5

$279K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

NASA Artemis II
Science·SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

66%

April 30

$635K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

91

Ends in 11 days

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Science·Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑2k

$7M Vol.

$57.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

46%

160-179

$99.4K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Science·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

52%

2.0T+

$350K Vol.

$52.3K Liq.

8

Ends in almost 2 years

New pandemic in 2026?
Science·Pandemics

New pandemic in 2026?

12%

$172K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Science·Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

94%

May 31

$29.1K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Science·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

39%

$100K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many SpaceX launches in March?
Science·SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in March?

99%

12 or more

$20.7K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Science·Weather

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

1

$630K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Science.

Polymarket currently hosts 166 active markets for Science that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “New pandemic in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Science predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.