Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

37%

2

$1m Vol.

$62.5k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

91%

1.05–1.09ºC

$992k Vol.

$22.9k Liq.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

9%

$2m Vol.

$206k Liq.

117

Ends in 11 months

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

36%

1.15–1.19ºC

$153k Vol.

$14.3k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?

99%

800

$236k Vol.

$40.0k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑1k

$7m Vol.

$31.2k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

42%

200 or more

$94.0k Vol.

$15.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$172k Vol.

$70.6k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Science

Weather

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

14%

$58.7k Vol.

$6.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX launches in February?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in February?

81%

11 or more

$113k Vol.

$26.1k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Science

Awards

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

71%

Hong Wang

$56.2k Vol.

$4.8k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NASA Artemis II

Science

SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

73%

April 30

$347k Vol.

$15.3k Liq.

45

Ends in about 2 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

61%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$944k Vol.

$9.9k Liq.

14

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

47%

$190k Vol.

$11.2k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in February?

45%

<3"

$96.2k Vol.

$9.8k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Precipitation in NYC in February?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in February?

47%

2-3"

$73.2k Vol.

$6.9k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

73%

4th or lower

$94.1k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

30%

11–13

$571k Vol.

$35.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

New pandemic in 2026?

Science

World

New pandemic in 2026?

14%

$77.2k Vol.

$31.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

49%

8+

$1m Vol.

$48.8k Liq.

16

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Science.

Polymarket currently hosts 51 active markets for Science that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "5kt meteor strike in 2026?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑500. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Science predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.