Climate predictions & odds

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Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Climate

Science

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

<1%

$4m Vol.

$1m today

$207k Liq.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Climate

Weather

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

21%

<4m sq km

$546 Vol.

$3.4k Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate

Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

41%

$214k Vol.

$3.0k Liq.

8

Ends in 12 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate

Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

49%

$82.3k Vol.

$11.7k Liq.

5

Ends in 12 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Climate

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

44%

$138k Vol.

$3.3k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate

Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$13.4k Vol.

$18.9k Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate

Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

10%

$1.6k Vol.

$4.3k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Climate

Weather

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

42%

15m+ sq km

$1.2k Vol.

$3.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months