Climate predictions & odds

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Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate

Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

37%

$228k Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Climate

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

43%

$229k Vol.

$3.6k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate

Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

$24.5k Vol.

$18.6k Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 year

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate

Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

47%

$98.8k Vol.

$14.3k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate

Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$3.0k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Climate

Weather

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

20%

<4m sq km

$799 Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Climate

Weather

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

24%

14.4-14.6m sq km

$2.3k Vol.

$6.1k Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months