How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

45%

6

$199 Vol.

$817 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

70%

$5M

$453K Vol.

$75.7K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

61%

<5

$406K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

94%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$61.4K today

$155K Liq.

29

Ends in 9 months

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

92%

SpaceX

$59.8K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

1

Ends in over 1 year

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

21%

$144K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$103K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

44%

$278K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

6%

$6.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

92%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$288K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

40%

1.5T-2.0T

$2M Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

6

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

52%

2.0T+

$709K Vol.

$116K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

37%

140-159

$253K Vol.

$35.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

27%

70-80B

$94.0K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

4

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

94%

NASDAQ

$90.2K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

4%

$749K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

30

Ends in 9 months

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

34%

1.75-2.00T

$114K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

1

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

6%

$148K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

47%

14

$18.0K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

$198K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Space.

Polymarket currently hosts 158 active markets for Space that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to 1.5T-2.0T. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Space predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.