NASA Artemis II

Space

SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

73%

April 30

$352k Vol.

$16.3k Liq.

45

Ends in about 2 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Space

SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$175k Vol.

$92.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX launches in February?

Space

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in February?

76%

11 or more

$119k Vol.

$23.2k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Space

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

47%

$190k Vol.

$12.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Space

SpaceX

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

18%

$85.3k Vol.

$7.3k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Space

SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$58.1k Vol.

$13.5k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Space

Crypto

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

72%

$5M

$391k Vol.

$76.1k Liq.

28

Ends in 11 months

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

Space

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

42%

200 or more

$98.6k Vol.

$15.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

Space

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

45%

2.0T+

$133k Vol.

$49.5k Liq.

6

Ends in almost 2 years

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Space

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

32%

7-8

$178k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Space

Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

48%

$109k Vol.

$16.5k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Space

SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

24%

$85.2k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

Space

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

83%

December 31

$5.5k Vol.

$5.0k Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Space

SpaceX

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

7%

$3.5k Vol.

$4.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Space

SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

5%

$504k Vol.

$40.9k Liq.

13

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Space

SpaceX

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

94%

SpaceX

$589 Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Space

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

83%

SpaceX

$14.0k Vol.

$2.2k Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Space.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for Space that lets you track or trade on predictions like "NASA Artemis II". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "5kt meteor strike in 2026?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Space predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.