54 Weather prediction markets

Highest temperature in NYC on January 8?

Highest temperature in NYC on January 8?

<1%

41°F or below

$194k Vol.

$164k today

$225k Liq.

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Weather

Science

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

75%

4th or lower

$173k Vol.

$71.9k today

$12.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Weather

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

66%

8+

$709k Vol.

$71.3k today

$29.5k Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

Weather

Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2025?

74%

<1550

$419k Vol.

$64.0k today

$23.2k Liq.

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

Weather

Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

86%

<30

$383k Vol.

$63.8k today

$10.6k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Highest temperature in NYC on January 9?

Highest temperature in NYC on January 9?

99%

48°F or higher

$56.9k Vol.

$14.4k Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Highest temperature in Seoul on January 9?

Weather

Recurring

Highest temperature in Seoul on January 9?

86%

6°C

$45.8k Vol.

$211k Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Weather

Science

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

47%

0

$132k Vol.

$19.8k Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 year

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather

Science

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

60%

1.05–1.09ºC

$520k Vol.

$65.9k Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Highest temperature in Toronto on January 8?

Weather

Recurring

Highest temperature in Toronto on January 8?

<1%

-1°C or below

$49.1k Vol.

$383k Liq.

Highest temperature in Dallas on January 9?

Weather

Dallas

Highest temperature in Dallas on January 9?

70%

68-69°F

$35.8k Vol.

$8.8k Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Highest temperature in Dallas on January 8?

Weather

Dallas

Highest temperature in Dallas on January 8?

100%

78-79°F

$50.9k Vol.

$1m Liq.

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather

Science

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

22%

1.10–1.14ºC

$175k Vol.

$5.1k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Highest temperature in Seattle on January 8?

Weather

Recurring

Highest temperature in Seattle on January 8?

100%

44-45°F

$31.7k Vol.

$32.9k Liq.

Highest temperature in Atlanta on January 9?

Weather

Recurring

Highest temperature in Atlanta on January 9?

47%

70-71°F

$31.3k Vol.

$3.3k Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Weather

Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

41%

$213k Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

8

Ends in 12 months

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Weather

Science

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

<1%

$2m Vol.

$41.4k Liq.

Highest temperature in Seattle on January 9?

Weather

Recurring

Highest temperature in Seattle on January 9?

49%

48-49°F

$16.5k Vol.

$20.8k Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Highest temperature in London on January 10?

Weather

London

Highest temperature in London on January 10?

59%

4°C

$13.4k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Highest temperature in Toronto on January 9?

Weather

Recurring

Highest temperature in Toronto on January 9?

96%

10°C or higher

$16.6k Vol.

$91.4k Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours