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Oct 29, 2026

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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

9%
84%
2
icon for Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

82%
78%
3
icon for Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?

Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?

100%
68%
4
icon for Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?

Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?

99%
65%
5
icon for Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

100%
62%
6
icon for Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?

Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?

81%
59%
7
icon for Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

98%
40%
8
icon for Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

94%
40%
9
icon for Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?

7%
39%
10
icon for Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?

100%
37%
11
icon for Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?

2%
34%
12
icon for Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?

33%
33%
13
icon for Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

82%
32%
14
icon for Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?

Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?

89%
30%
15
icon for Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

27%
29%
16
icon for Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

6%
27%
17
icon for Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

22%
26%
18
icon for US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

65%
22%
19
icon for Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

71%
21%
20
icon for Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

35%
19%
21
icon for Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?

96%
19%
22
icon for Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

54%
19%
23
icon for Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?

36%
18%
24
icon for Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?

Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?

19%
15%
25
icon for Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

20%
8%

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