Breaking World News & Predictions
Aug 18, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
85%
80%
2


Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August?
97%
38%
3


Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
14%
28%
4


Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
17%
25%
5

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
24%
16%
6


Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
12%
16%
7


Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
71%
13%
8

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?
19%
12%
9

Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?
53%
12%
10

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
33%
10%
11

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
27%
9%
12

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
35%
9%
13

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
54%
9%
14

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
43%
9%
15


Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
66%
9%
16

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
45%
8%
17

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
29%
7%
18

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
32%
7%
19


Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
6%
7%
20

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?
22%
6%
21

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
69%
6%
22


Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
46%
6%
23


Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
73%
6%




