Breaking World News & Predictions

Feb 2, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 68% and 70%?

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 68% and 70%?

98%
81%
2
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?

Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?

61%
24%
3
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

63%
23%
4
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

100%
23%
5
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

21%
21%
6
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

2%
17%
7
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?

92%
15%
8
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

100%
15%
9
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

61%
13%
10
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

29%
13%
11
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

17%
12%
12
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

56%
11%
13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

45%
11%
14
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

15%
9%
15
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?

62%
9%
16
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

12%
9%
17
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

27%
9%
18
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

42%
8%
19
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

82%
8%
20
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

84%
8%
21
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

28%
8%
22
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

14%
8%
23
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

33%
8%
24
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

14%
7%
25
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

62%
6%
26
Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

21%
6%
27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

12%
5%