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Breaking World News & Predictions

May 7, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?

Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?

100%
56%
2
icon for Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

25%
25%
3
icon for Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

21%
20%
4
icon for Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

18%
12%
5
icon for Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

25%
11%
6
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

54%
10%
7
icon for Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

9%
10%
8
icon for Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

40%
9%
9
icon for Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?

12%
8%
10
icon for Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

21%
7%
11
icon for Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?

Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?

85%
6%
12
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

39%
6%
13
icon for Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

10%
6%
14
icon for Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

86%
5%
15
icon for Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

56%
5%
16
icon for Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

9%
5%