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Breaking World News & Predictions

May 7, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?

33%
48%
2
icon for Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

7%
45%
3
icon for Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

14%
28%
4
icon for Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?

88%
24%
5
icon for Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

42%
23%
6
icon for Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

36%
19%
7
icon for Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

76%
17%
8
icon for Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

44%
16%
9
icon for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

28%
14%
10
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

30%
13%
11
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

50%
13%
12
icon for Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

23%
11%
13
icon for Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

90%
11%
14
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

16%
11%
15
icon for Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

27%
10%
16
icon for US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

64%
10%
17
icon for Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

28%
9%
18
icon for Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

19%
8%
19
icon for Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

71%
8%
20
icon for Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?

13%
8%
21
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

33%
7%
22
icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

3%
7%
23
icon for Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

65%
6%
24
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

22%
6%
25
icon for Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

39%
6%
26
icon for Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

72%
6%
27
icon for Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

17%
6%
28
icon for Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

99%
5%