Breaking World News & Predictions
Oct 29, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?
99%
65%
2
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
93%
60%
3
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
84%
52%
4
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?
100%
37%
5
Next Israeli government a minority government?
20%
26%
6
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?
60%
20%
7
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
29%
20%
8
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
35%
19%
9
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?
37%
19%
10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
49%
15%
11
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
40%
15%
12
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
42%
12%
13
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
24%
10%
14
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
13%
10%
15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
82%
8%
16
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
33%
8%
17
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
44%
8%
18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
19%
7%
19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
38%
6%
20
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
29%
6%
21
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
81%
6%
22
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
44%
6%
23
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
6%
6%
24
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
7%
6%
25
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
34%
6%
26
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
75%
5%