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Breaking World News & Predictions

Aug 18, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?

85%
80%
2
icon for Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August?

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August?

97%
38%
3
icon for Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

14%
28%
4
icon for Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

17%
25%
5
icon for Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?

Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?

24%
16%
6
icon for Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

12%
16%
7
icon for Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

71%
13%
8
icon for Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?

19%
12%
9
icon for Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?

Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?

53%
12%
10
icon for Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

33%
10%
11
icon for Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?

27%
9%
12
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

35%
9%
13
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

54%
9%
14
icon for Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

43%
9%
15
icon for Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

66%
9%
16
icon for Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

45%
8%
17
icon for Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?

29%
7%
18
icon for Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

32%
7%
19
icon for Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

6%
7%
20
icon for Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?

22%
6%
21
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

69%
6%
22
icon for Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

46%
6%
23
icon for Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

73%
6%