Breaking World News & Predictions

Jan 9, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
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Khamenei public appearance by Friday?

100%
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83%
2
US strike on Mexico by December 31?

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

41%
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25%
3
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

40%
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20%
4
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

95%
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19%
5
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

17%
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12%
6
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

26%
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12%
7
Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31?

Will UAE strike Yemen by January 31?

2%
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11%
8
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

30%
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10%
9
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

47%
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9%
10
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?

93%
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9%
11
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

40%
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9%
12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

48%
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9%
13
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

37%
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9%
14
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?

90%
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8%
15
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

11%
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7%
16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

50%
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7%
17
Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

3%
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7%
18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

44%
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7%
19
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?

7%
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7%
20
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

15%
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7%
21
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

35%
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7%
22
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

25%
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6%
23
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

19%
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6%
24
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

49%
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6%
25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

48%
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6%
26
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?

16%
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5%
27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?

1%
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4%
28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?

11%
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2%