Politics

Politics

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

3%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

3%

$431m Vol.

Monthly
Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?

540-559

<1%

560-579

<1%

540-559

<1%

560-579

<1%

$27m Vol.

Weekly
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

50%

Rick Rieder

25%

Kevin Warsh

50%

Rick Rieder

25%

$223m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$202m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

15%

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

15%

$197m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?

260-279

<1%

280-299

<1%

260-279

<1%

280-299

<1%

$9m Vol.

Weekly
US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 23

4%

January 31

18%

January 23

4%

January 31

18%

$71m Vol.

Monthly
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

20%

chance

$17m Vol.

Monthly
Elon Musk # tweets January 20 - January 27, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 20 - January 27, 2026?

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

$5m Vol.

Weekly
US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 18

<1%

January 19

<1%

January 18

<1%

January 19

<1%

$10m Vol.

Monthly
Elon Musk # tweets January 19 - January 21, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 19 - January 21, 2026?

65-89

4%

90-114

32%

65-89

4%

90-114

32%

$1m Vol.

Daily
Elon Musk # tweets January 23 - January 30, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 23 - January 30, 2026?

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

$1m Vol.

Weekly
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 16

2%

January 18

1%

January 16

2%

January 18

1%

$4m Vol.

Daily