Browse

New

Trending

Popular

Liquid

Ending Soon

Competitive

Topics

Live Crypto

Live Crypto

Politics

Politics

Middle East

Middle East

Crypto

Crypto

Sports

Sports

Pop Culture

Pop Culture

Tech

Tech

AI

Trending Breaking New

Politics Sports Crypto Finance Geopolitics Earnings Tech Culture World Economy Climate & Science Elections Mentions More

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

Politics

All Trump Epstein Venezuela Midterms Primaries Minnesota Unrest US Election Trade War Congress Global Elections NYC Mayor Ukraine Mayoral Elections Courts Gaza Israel Cabinet Senate

US government shutdown Saturday? card icon

US government shutdown Saturday?

100%

chance

$112m Vol.

Daily

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

99%

Judy Shelton

1%

Kevin Warsh

99%

Judy Shelton

1%

$373m Vol.

Fed decision in March? card icon

Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

8%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

8%

$43m Vol.

Monthly

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 2

1%

February 3

2%

February 2

1%

February 3

2%

$153m Vol.

Monthly

How long will the Government Shutdown last? card icon

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

4+ days

98%

5+ days

46%

4+ days

98%

5+ days

46%

$11m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

33%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

Gavin Newsom

33%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

$585m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

25%

Gavin Newsom

20%

JD Vance

25%

Gavin Newsom

20%

$245m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

50%

Marco Rubio

13%

J.D. Vance

50%

Marco Rubio

13%

$238m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?

300-319

<1%

320-339

2%

300-319

<1%

320-339

2%

$13m Vol.

Weekly

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? card icon

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

99%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Elon Musk # tweets January 31 - February 2, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 31 - February 2, 2026?

65-89

26%

90-114

72%

65-89

26%

90-114

72%

$2m Vol.

Daily

Costa Rica Presidential Election card icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

100%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

<1%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

100%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

<1%

$4m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 2026

<1%

February 1

<1%

January 2026

<1%

February 1

<1%

$3m Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 31

<1%

No strike by January 31

100%

January 31

<1%

No strike by January 31

100%

$28m Vol.

Monthly

Elon Musk # tweets February 3 - February 10, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets February 3 - February 10, 2026?

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

<20

<1%

20-39

<1%

$2m Vol.

Weekly

Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026?

120-139

<1%

140-159

<1%

120-139

<1%

140-159

<1%

$4m Vol.

Weekly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

20%

chance

$9m Vol.

Daily

Who will Trump talk to in January? card icon

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

2%

chance

$8m Vol.

Monthly

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

$128m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

12%

chance

$13m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Related Politics topics

ElectionPredictions CongressPredictions TrumpPredictions EpsteinPredictions ShutdownPredictions Cabinet for trumpPredictions ListPredictions MinneapolisPredictions DerivativesPredictions CourtsPredictions

AliensPredictions AllPredictions SomaliPredictions ImmigrationPredictions NEAPredictions SomalianPredictions ArticlesPredictions NYSNAPredictions TariffsPredictions MilitaryPredictions

Popular Politics markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?Next leader out of power before 2027?US/Israel strikes Iran by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Next Country US Strikes Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?Next French Presidential Election

Elon Musk # tweets February 2 - February 4, 2026?Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?Thailand Legislative Election Winner Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

New Politics markets

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by...?Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by...?Elon Musk # tweets February 2 - February 4, 2026?Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

How many different countries will the US strike in February?Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31?Will the RSF capture Dilling by March 31?Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28?Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28?Number of TSA Passengers February 3?

Adventure One QSS Inc. © 2026/Privacy/Terms of Use/Help Center/Docs

Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. This international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. See our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

Home

Breaking