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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

50%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$241K Liq.

39

Ends in 6 months

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

76%

May 31

$3.3K Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

97%

$38.8K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

2%

$338K Vol.

$115K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

81%

$41.1K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$196K Liq.

7

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

10%

$165K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

8%

$1.7K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

18%

$12.9K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

96%

Pass 3-6%

$547K Vol.

$90.1K Liq.

63

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

25%

$4.4K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

84%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$394K Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$101K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

28

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

77%

Hakeem Jeffries

$1.7K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

23%

125-130m

$7.0K Vol.

$63.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

100%

Thom Tillis

$96.6K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

21%

$112K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

7%

$1.7K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

17%

Republicans 0-2%

$31.5K Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Congress.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Congress that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 50% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Congress predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.