Recent bipartisan calls for formal congressional review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act (INARA) have created a closely balanced market around whether Congress will approve a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement this year. Lawmakers in both parties, including Senate Republicans, have signaled they expect the administration to transmit the memorandum of understanding and any subsequent nuclear provisions for a 30-day review period that includes the possibility of a disapproval resolution. The interim deal, which ends hostilities, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations ahead of a planned June 19 signing in Geneva, leaves key enrichment, stockpile, and verification details unresolved. Trader consensus near even odds reflects uncertainty over whether Republican majorities will ultimately support or block the package once transmitted, alongside potential influence from regional partners and the high procedural threshold for overturning an executive agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent bipartisan calls for formal congressional review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act (INARA) have created a closely balanced market around whether Congress will approve a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement this year. Lawmakers in both parties, including Senate Republicans, have signaled they expect the administration to transmit the memorandum of understanding and any subsequent nuclear provisions for a 30-day review period that includes the possibility of a disapproval resolution. The interim deal, which ends hostilities, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations ahead of a planned June 19 signing in Geneva, leaves key enrichment, stockpile, and verification details unresolved. Trader consensus near even odds reflects uncertainty over whether Republican majorities will ultimately support or block the package once transmitted, alongside potential influence from regional partners and the high procedural threshold for overturning an executive agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,303End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent bipartisan calls for formal congressional review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act (INARA) have created a closely balanced market around whether Congress will approve a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement this year. Lawmakers in both parties, including Senate Republicans, have signaled they expect the administration to transmit the memorandum of understanding and any subsequent nuclear provisions for a 30-day review period that includes the possibility of a disapproval resolution. The interim deal, which ends hostilities, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations ahead of a planned June 19 signing in Geneva, leaves key enrichment, stockpile, and verification details unresolved. Trader consensus near even odds reflects uncertainty over whether Republican majorities will ultimately support or block the package once transmitted, alongside potential influence from regional partners and the high procedural threshold for overturning an executive agreement.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,303End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent bipartisan calls for formal congressional review under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act (INARA) have created a closely balanced market around whether Congress will approve a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement this year. Lawmakers in both parties, including Senate Republicans, have signaled they expect the administration to transmit the memorandum of understanding and any subsequent nuclear provisions for a 30-day review period that includes the possibility of a disapproval resolution. The interim deal, which ends hostilities, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations ahead of a planned June 19 signing in Geneva, leaves key enrichment, stockpile, and verification details unresolved. Trader consensus near even odds reflects uncertainty over whether Republican majorities will ultimately support or block the package once transmitted, alongside potential influence from regional partners and the high procedural threshold for overturning an executive agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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