The Senate's repeated failure to advance H.R. 22 or its successor SAVE America Act versions explains the 96.9% trader consensus against enactment in 2026. House Republicans passed the measure multiple times, including 218–213 in February, yet Senate cloture and amendment votes fell short of 60, with several Republicans joining Democrats in opposition. Attempts to attach the bill to must-pass vehicles such as the NDAA also stalled. With the November midterms weeks away and limited time remaining in the 119th Congress, procedural barriers and calendar constraints have kept the legislation from reaching the president's desk. A successful lame-duck maneuver or filibuster-rule change could still alter the outcome, though neither has materialized despite sustained White House pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions