The Senate has repeatedly blocked the SAVE Act despite multiple House passages, most recently rejecting it as an amendment to a reconciliation package in a 48-50 vote in June 2026. Four Republican senators joined Democrats in opposition, underscoring the challenge of reaching the 60-vote threshold needed to overcome a filibuster. Efforts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA and appropriations bills have similarly stalled, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune declining to schedule further floor action. With the 2026 midterms approaching and competing priorities like government funding deadlines, the bill lacks a viable path to enactment before year-end. This legislative gridlock accounts for traders assigning a 94.5% probability that H.R. 22 will not become law in 2026.