Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism over H.R. 22, the SAVE Act mandating proof of citizenship for federal voter registration, becoming law in 2026, driven primarily by the Senate filibuster hurdle requiring 60 votes amid a 53-47 Republican majority. The bill passed the House 220-208 on March 12, 2025, shortly after reintroduction on January 3, buoyed by President Trump's endorsement and GOP trifecta control, yet Democratic opposition labeling it voter suppression has stalled Senate action. No bipartisan negotiations or rule changes have emerged, with competing priorities like budget reconciliation diverting focus; traders price low odds of enactment in 2026 specifically, viewing 2025 as a more feasible window if surmountable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$124,455 Vol.
$124,455 Vol.
$124,455 Vol.
$124,455 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism over H.R. 22, the SAVE Act mandating proof of citizenship for federal voter registration, becoming law in 2026, driven primarily by the Senate filibuster hurdle requiring 60 votes amid a 53-47 Republican majority. The bill passed the House 220-208 on March 12, 2025, shortly after reintroduction on January 3, buoyed by President Trump's endorsement and GOP trifecta control, yet Democratic opposition labeling it voter suppression has stalled Senate action. No bipartisan negotiations or rule changes have emerged, with competing priorities like budget reconciliation diverting focus; traders price low odds of enactment in 2026 specifically, viewing 2025 as a more feasible window if surmountable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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