The Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains the dominant barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. After House passage in April 2025 and again in February 2026, the measure advanced only to procedural votes in the Senate, where Republicans hold a narrow majority and have secured insufficient Democratic support for cloture. Senate debate in March 2026 produced no path to the 60 votes needed, and no further floor action has occurred. With the 119th Congress set to conclude in early 2027 and no bipartisan agreement or alternative legislative vehicle emerging, traders assign just an 8% chance the bill reaches the President's desk in 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$166,023 KL.
$166,023 KL.
$166,023 KL.
$166,023 KL.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains the dominant barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. After House passage in April 2025 and again in February 2026, the measure advanced only to procedural votes in the Senate, where Republicans hold a narrow majority and have secured insufficient Democratic support for cloture. Senate debate in March 2026 produced no path to the 60 votes needed, and no further floor action has occurred. With the 119th Congress set to conclude in early 2027 and no bipartisan agreement or alternative legislative vehicle emerging, traders assign just an 8% chance the bill reaches the President's desk in 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp