The high trader consensus against H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act, becoming law in 2026 stems from repeated Senate defeats of the House-passed measure and its 2026 rebranded versions. Despite House approvals in 2025 and February 2026, Senate votes failed to reach the 60-vote threshold needed to overcome a filibuster, including a 48-50 rejection in June and a 53-47 defeat on related provisions in September. Attempts to attach the bill to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations measures have also stalled amid opposition from some Republicans and unified Democratic resistance. With the congressional calendar winding down before year-end adjournment, procedural barriers and insufficient support make enactment improbable absent a rules change or breakthrough compromise.