The House has repeatedly passed H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration and photo identification at polls, most recently in February 2026 by a 218-213 vote. Every Senate attempt to advance the measure, including as an amendment to must-pass bills such as the NDAA and appropriations packages, has failed, most notably a June 4, 2026, vote of 48-50 that saw four Republicans join Democrats in opposition. Senate procedural requirements for 60 votes and the absence of sufficient bipartisan support have kept the bill stalled through October 2026. Trader consensus at 96.5% against enactment this year reflects these consistent legislative roadblocks. A last-minute compromise in the lame-duck session or an unforeseen shift in Senate dynamics before December 31 remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome.