The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 by a 220-208 vote and again in a revised form in February 2026. Senate consideration has since stalled amid the need for 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, with Republicans holding 53 seats and limited Democratic support emerging. Senate Majority Leader Thune has signaled continued efforts, yet procedural barriers and opposition have prevented floor advancement or cloture through mid-May 2026. Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability against enactment this year, reflecting the chamber's institutional thresholds and the absence of recent bipartisan momentum or rule changes that could alter the timeline before the end of the calendar year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$165,983 Vol.
$165,983 Vol.
$165,983 Vol.
$165,983 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 by a 220-208 vote and again in a revised form in February 2026. Senate consideration has since stalled amid the need for 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, with Republicans holding 53 seats and limited Democratic support emerging. Senate Majority Leader Thune has signaled continued efforts, yet procedural barriers and opposition have prevented floor advancement or cloture through mid-May 2026. Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability against enactment this year, reflecting the chamber's institutional thresholds and the absence of recent bipartisan momentum or rule changes that could alter the timeline before the end of the calendar year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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