Fed decision in January?

Politics

Finance

Fed decision in January?

95%

No change

$388m Vol.

$16m today

$18m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 10 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Politics

Trump

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

56%

Kevin Warsh

$206m Vol.

$13m today

$6m Liq.

495

Ends in 12 months

US strikes Iran by...?

Politics

Iran

US strikes Iran by...?

52%

June 30

$61m Vol.

$5m today

$622k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

35%

Gavin Newsom

$487m Vol.

$5m today

$26m Liq.

428

Ends in almost 3 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Politics

Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

27%

JD Vance

$194m Vol.

$3m today

$14m Liq.

572

Ends in almost 3 years

Portugal Presidential Election

Politics

Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

76%

António José Seguro (IND)

$113m Vol.

$3m today

$3m Liq.

1,303

Ends in 22 days

Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?

15%

580-599

$11m Vol.

$2m today

$939k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

52%

J.D. Vance

$191m Vol.

$2m today

$11m Liq.

231

Ends in almost 3 years

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?

14%

540-559

$4m Vol.

$1m today

$741k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Politics

Iran

US next strikes Iran on...?

81%

No strike by January 31

$6m Vol.

$994k today

$428k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Elon Musk # tweets January 15 - January 17, 2026?

Politics

Culture

Elon Musk # tweets January 15 - January 17, 2026?

74%

190-214

$2m Vol.

$961k today

$213k Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Politics

Ukraine

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

3%

$15m Vol.

$951k today

$722k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Politics

Trump

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

17%

$10m Vol.

$911k today

$1m Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Politics

Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

3%

$6m Vol.

$466k today

$458k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Politics

Gaza

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

13%

$11m Vol.

$347k today

$141k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Fed decision in March?

Politics

Fed

Fed decision in March?

80%

No change

$2m Vol.

$341k today

$450k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

Politics

Iran

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

12%

March 31

$6m Vol.

$277k today

$96.4k Liq.

176

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Politics

Elections

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

56%

António José Seguro (IND)

$2m Vol.

$270k today

$295k Liq.

99

Ends in about 11 hours

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Politics

Iran

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

<1%

$3m Vol.

$223k today

$289k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Politics

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

22%

$6m Vol.

$221k today

$205k Liq.

Ends in 2 months