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法国选举 预测与赔率

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French election called by...?

French election called by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

312

Ends 6 个月前

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$101M 交易量

$483K today

$10M Liq.

558

Ends 11 个月内

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$117K 交易量

$363K Liq.

29

Ends 10 个月内

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

99%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$21.9K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

8

Ends 10 个月内

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

69%

Jordan Bardella

$4.0K 交易量

$107K Liq.

4

Ends 11 个月内

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

75%

Jordan Bardella

$7.0K 交易量

$18.7K Liq.

5

Ends 10 个月内

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

52%

Canceled

$94.3K 交易量

$51.4K Liq.

14

Ends 4 个月内

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

76%

$112 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

9

Ends 3 个月内

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

<1%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$22.8K Liq.

91

Ends 13 天内

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

21%

$13.5K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

23

Ends 3 个月前

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

61%

PQ

$578K 交易量

$126K Liq.

48

Ends 4 个月内

LA-03 House Election Winner

LA-03 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$12.2K 交易量

$28.9K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

39%

December 31, 2026

$324K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

111

Ends 7 个月内

LA-05 House Election Winner

LA-05 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$6.5K 交易量

$23.6K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

94%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M 交易量

$210K Liq.

11

Ends 3 个月内

LA-04 House Election Winner

LA-04 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$2.3K 交易量

$25.7K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

LA-02 House Election Winner

LA-02 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$43.6K 交易量

$32.1K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

LA-06 House Election Winner

LA-06 House Election Winner

85%

Republican Party

$59.5K 交易量

$18.8K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

LA-01 House Election Winner

LA-01 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$37.6K 交易量

$27.7K Liq.

Ends 5 个月内

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$787K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

14

Ends 6 个月前

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 法国选举 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 109 个活跃的 法国选举 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"French election called by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $107.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Next French Presidential Election",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Next French Presidential Election",市场目前认为 Jordan Bardella 的概率为 26%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 法国选举 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。