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French Election predictions & odds

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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$62M Vol.

$967K today

$5M Liq.

461

Ends in 12 months

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

94%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$28.8K Vol.

$566K Liq.

15

Ends in 12 months

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

100%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8.6K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 12 months

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

82%

Jordan Bardella

$1.8K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 12 months

French election called by...?

French election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

312

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

93

Ends in about 2 months

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

22%

$11.3K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

23

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

66%

PQ

$481K Vol.

$102K Liq.

48

Ends in 5 months

LA-03 House Election Winner

LA-03 House Election Winner

88%

Republican Party

$6.4K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

LA-05 House Election Winner

LA-05 House Election Winner

88%

Republican Party

$4.5K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$104K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

LA-04 House Election Winner

LA-04 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$1.7K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

LA-02 House Election Winner

LA-02 House Election Winner

55%

Democratic Party

$33.8K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

LA-06 House Election Winner

LA-06 House Election Winner

62%

Democratic Party

$49.5K Vol.

$45.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

LA-01 House Election Winner

LA-01 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$34.2K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$749K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

14

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$801 Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

100%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$134K Liq.

9

Ends in about 6 hours

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

66%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$110K today

$365K Liq.

180

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for French Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next French Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next French Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on French Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.