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Germany predictions & odds

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

16%

$139K Vol.

$58.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

27%

0.4-0.6%

$13 Vol.

$442 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad

99%

Florian Wirtz

$369 Vol.

$855 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

37%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$123K Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

87%

AfD

$207K Vol.

$73.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

19%

$54.8K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

93%

AfD

$688K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

89%

CDU

$44.2K Vol.

$53.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Bundesliga: Most Assists

Bundesliga: Most Assists

99%

Michael Olise

$13.3K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

3%

$978K Vol.

$50.3K today

$56.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire

67%

Germany

$499 Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Germany vs. Curaçao

Germany vs. Curaçao

93%

Germany

$5.5K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

WTT - Women's Singles: Germany vs North Korea

WTT - Women's Singles: Germany vs North Korea

50%

Korea

$3 Vol.

$4 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Germany vs. Finland

Germany vs. Finland

45%

Germany

$0 Vol.

$741 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

WTT - Men's Singles: Germany vs Slovenia

WTT - Men's Singles: Germany vs Slovenia

Germany

$410 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Ecuador vs. Germany

Ecuador vs. Germany

54%

Germany

$206 Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Germany BBL: Winner

Germany BBL: Winner

30%

Fitness First Würzburg Baskets

$327 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)

Germany

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

5%

$113K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

11

Ends in about 2 months

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

35%

$10.1K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Germany.

Polymarket currently hosts 185 active markets for Germany that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Berlin State Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Berlin State Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to CDU. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Germany predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.