Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second-most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, driven by consistent Sonntagsfragen showing AfD leading at 38% and CDU at 25% in the latest INSA poll published March 25 (fieldwork March 17-24), with Die Linke trailing at 13% under proportional representation's 5% threshold dynamics. AfD's double-digit edge has held since overtaking CDU in September 2025 polls, unaffected by CDU's January leadership change to Premier Sven Schulze succeeding Reiner Haseloff. Minor shifts—Linke up 2 points, SPD down—further widen CDU's gap to third, though campaign momentum or late economic developments could narrow AfD's lead and alter positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCDU 87%
AfD 8%
The Greens 1.0%
BSW 1.0%
$38,838 Vol.
$38,838 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
CDU
87%
AfD
8%
The Greens
1%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
SPD
1%
The Left
1%
CDU 87%
AfD 8%
The Greens 1.0%
BSW 1.0%
$38,838 Vol.
$38,838 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
CDU
$14,760 Vol.
87%
AfD
$426 Vol.
8%
The Greens
$547 Vol.
1%
BSW
$307 Vol.
1%
FDP
$1,089 Vol.
1%
SPD
$21,391 Vol.
1%
The Left
$317 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second-most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, driven by consistent Sonntagsfragen showing AfD leading at 38% and CDU at 25% in the latest INSA poll published March 25 (fieldwork March 17-24), with Die Linke trailing at 13% under proportional representation's 5% threshold dynamics. AfD's double-digit edge has held since overtaking CDU in September 2025 polls, unaffected by CDU's January leadership change to Premier Sven Schulze succeeding Reiner Haseloff. Minor shifts—Linke up 2 points, SPD down—further widen CDU's gap to third, though campaign momentum or late economic developments could narrow AfD's lead and alter positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$38,838End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second-most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, driven by consistent Sonntagsfragen showing AfD leading at 38% and CDU at 25% in the latest INSA poll published March 25 (fieldwork March 17-24), with Die Linke trailing at 13% under proportional representation's 5% threshold dynamics. AfD's double-digit edge has held since overtaking CDU in September 2025 polls, unaffected by CDU's January leadership change to Premier Sven Schulze succeeding Reiner Haseloff. Minor shifts—Linke up 2 points, SPD down—further widen CDU's gap to third, though campaign momentum or late economic developments could narrow AfD's lead and alter positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$38,838End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second-most seats in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, driven by consistent Sonntagsfragen showing AfD leading at 38% and CDU at 25% in the latest INSA poll published March 25 (fieldwork March 17-24), with Die Linke trailing at 13% under proportional representation's 5% threshold dynamics. AfD's double-digit edge has held since overtaking CDU in September 2025 polls, unaffected by CDU's January leadership change to Premier Sven Schulze succeeding Reiner Haseloff. Minor shifts—Linke up 2 points, SPD down—further widen CDU's gap to third, though campaign momentum or late economic developments could narrow AfD's lead and alter positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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