Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

42%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$41M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

3,895

Ends in 6 months

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

86%

Decrease

$206K Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

15%

$56.2K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

77%

Decrease

$6.2K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

15%

$48.6K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

22

Ends in 6 months

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

17%

$17.4K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

63%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$153K Liq.

13

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

38%

Lula da Silva <5%

$209K Vol.

$87.7K Liq.

8

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

36%

Renan Santos

$169K Vol.

$87.3K Liq.

22

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

40%

5.00-5.49%

$38.9K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

76%

PL

$6.4K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

79%

PL

$247K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

30%

$164K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

40

Ends in 3 months

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

84%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$239K Vol.

$91.1K Liq.

95

Ends in 6 months

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

59%

1.5%–1.8%

$15.3K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Brazil Série A: Winner

Brazil Série A: Winner

59%

Palmeiras

$516 Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Brazil Série B: Winner

Brazil Série B: Winner

52%

Fortaleza

$0 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Sierra Leone vs Brazil

T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Sierra Leone vs Brazil

64%

Brazil

$49 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC

CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC

100%

CR Flamengo

$219K Vol.

$216K today

$407K Liq.

EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras

EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras

59%

SE Palmeiras

$51.5K Vol.

$81.0K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Brazil.

Polymarket currently hosts 218 active markets for Brazil that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Brazil Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Brazil predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.