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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Market icon

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 71%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 11%

Ratinho Júnior 10%

Renan Santos 7.1%

Polymarket

$54,473 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 71%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 11%

Ratinho Júnior 10%

Renan Santos 7.1%

Polymarket

$54,473 Vol.

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Flávio Bolsonaro

$5,759 Vol.

71%

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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,861 Vol.

11%

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Ratinho Júnior

$5,169 Vol.

10%

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Renan Santos

$4,198 Vol.

7%

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Romeu Zema

$4,100 Vol.

4%

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Ronaldo Caiado

$3,497 Vol.

2%

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Michelle Bolsonaro

$3,363 Vol.

1%

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Eduardo Bolsonaro

$3,835 Vol.

1%

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Jair Bolsonaro

$3,109 Vol.

1%

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Geraldo Alckmin

$3,313 Vol.

1%

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Fernando Haddad

$4,236 Vol.

1%

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Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,938 Vol.

1%

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Camilo Santana

$3,095 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$54,473
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 71%, followed by "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place" has generated $54.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place" is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.