Middle East predictions & odds

·
US strikes Iran by...?

Middle East

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

64%

June 30

$110m Vol.

$5m today

$872k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

Middle East

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

90%

No strike by January 31

$23m Vol.

$1m today

$366k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Middle East

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

2%

$45m Vol.

$1m today

$331k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Middle East

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

19%

$2m Vol.

$365k today

$242k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Middle East

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

7%

$15m Vol.

$335k today

$73.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Middle East

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

73%

December 31

$7m Vol.

$271k today

$226k Liq.

176

Ends in 18 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Middle East

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

1%

$9m Vol.

$228k today

$373k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Middle East

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

57%

January 30

$5m Vol.

$185k today

$29.8k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Middle East

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

57%

January 28

$3m Vol.

$128k today

$38.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?

Middle East

Iran

Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?

99%

$105k Vol.

$63.1k today

$22.3k Liq.

39

Ends in 3 days

Next Country US Strikes

Middle East

Politics

Next Country US Strikes

80%

Somalia

$73.1k Vol.

$58.2k today

$101k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Middle East

Politics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

39%

February 28

$826k Vol.

$57.1k today

$45.1k Liq.

15

Ends in about 1 month

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

Middle East

Politics

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

<1%

$5m Vol.

$54.6k today

$183k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Middle East

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

25%

$8m Vol.

$155k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Middle East

Politics

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

15%

$130k Vol.

$8.6k Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

Middle East

Iran

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

2%

$1m Vol.

$21.6k Liq.

46

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Middle East

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

35%

$4m Vol.

$68.4k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Middle East

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

17%

$3m Vol.

$178k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

Middle East

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

51%

No strike by February 28

$38.4k Vol.

$251k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Middle East

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

$3m Vol.

$167k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months