The stalled U.S.-backed plan for an International Stabilization Force under the Board of Peace remains the central factor shaping prospects for non-Israeli, non-Palestinian security operations in Gaza. Pledges from countries including Indonesia, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania have not translated into deployments, with Indonesia placing its commitment on indefinite hold amid disputes over mission guidelines and broader regional priorities. A fragile October 2025 ceasefire continues to fray, marked by Israeli strikes, aid restrictions, and Hamas’s rejection of disarmament requirements tied to reconstruction. On May 28, Prime Minister Netanyahu directed forces to expand control toward 70 percent of the territory, further complicating any transition. No official ground operation by external forces has begun as of late May, leaving the June 30 resolution window dependent on rapid diplomatic breakthroughs or new commitments before the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$615,230 Vol.

30 de junho
17%
$615,230 Vol.

30 de junho
17%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The stalled U.S.-backed plan for an International Stabilization Force under the Board of Peace remains the central factor shaping prospects for non-Israeli, non-Palestinian security operations in Gaza. Pledges from countries including Indonesia, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania have not translated into deployments, with Indonesia placing its commitment on indefinite hold amid disputes over mission guidelines and broader regional priorities. A fragile October 2025 ceasefire continues to fray, marked by Israeli strikes, aid restrictions, and Hamas’s rejection of disarmament requirements tied to reconstruction. On May 28, Prime Minister Netanyahu directed forces to expand control toward 70 percent of the territory, further complicating any transition. No official ground operation by external forces has begun as of late May, leaving the June 30 resolution window dependent on rapid diplomatic breakthroughs or new commitments before the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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