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IA previsões e probabilidades

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Maior empresa no final de junho?

Maior empresa no final de junho?

84%

NVIDIA

$14M Vol.

$374K today

$2M Liq.

80

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?

93%

Anthropic

$9M Vol.

$267K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Elon Musk ganhará o seu caso contra Sam Altman?

Elon Musk ganhará o seu caso contra Sam Altman?

<1%

Sim

$628K Vol.

$199K today

$25.3K Liq.

58

Ends em 8 meses

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?

74%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$75.0K today

$994K Liq.

62

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Gemini 3.5 lançado por...?

Gemini 3.5 lançado por...?

93%

31 de julho

$2M Vol.

$74.0K today

$37.4K Liq.

112

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

95%

May 19

$402K Vol.

$54.6K today

$142K Liq.

5

Ends em 12 dias

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

93%

Anthropic

$675K Vol.

$51.6K today

$238K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Novo carro-chefe de raciocínio Gemini lançado por...?

Novo carro-chefe de raciocínio Gemini lançado por...?

92%

June 30

$174K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

24

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Trump-Xi Summit: O que Trump anunciará até 22 de maio?

Trump-Xi Summit: O que Trump anunciará até 22 de maio?

11%

Redução de Tarifas

$197K Vol.

$101K Liq.

29

Ends em 3 dias

Nº de Pacotes Empurrados pelos Robôs F.03 da Figure até 21 de maio, 22:00 ET?

Nº de Pacotes Empurrados pelos Robôs F.03 da Figure até 21 de maio, 22:00 ET?

96%

200,000+

$165K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

100%

June 30

$586K Vol.

$49.2K Liq.

33

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Elon Musk ganha mais de $ 10mil milhões de acordo contra a Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk ganha mais de $ 10mil milhões de acordo contra a Altman/OpenAI?

<1%

Sim

$100.0K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

91%

Anthropic

$205K Vol.

$118K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

61%

Anthropic

$106K Vol.

$72.3K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Claude 5 libertado por...?

Claude 5 libertado por...?

72%

30 de setembro de 2026

$4M Vol.

$74.3K Liq.

206

Ends há 19 dias

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico

99%

Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026

$1M Vol.

$147K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?

NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?

99%

60B

$18.1K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Maior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?

Maior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?

92%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$133K Liq.

12

Ends em 8 meses

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

78%

Anthropic

$130K Vol.

$80.4K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?

Que tipo de produto a OpenAI anunciará em 2026?

34%

Óculos

$274K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

13

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IA.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for IA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Maior empresa no final de junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $41.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk ganha mais de $ 10mil milhões de acordo contra a Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Maior empresa no final de junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Maior empresa no final de junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.