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Llm previsões e probabilidades

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

11%

$67.9K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

11

Ends em 8 meses

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

75%

Anthropic

$4M Vol.

$145K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

65%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$962K Liq.

61

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

79%

1450+

$24.2K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

61%

1480+

$40.2K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

2

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

59%

Google

$65.4K Vol.

$48.0K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

98%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$23.5K Vol.

$68.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 1 dia

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

74%

1440+

$26.7K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

37%

Baidu

$18.6K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

77%

Anthropic

$300K Vol.

$167K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

57%

Google

$8.0K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

42%

Anthropic

$49.7K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

14%

OpenAI

$2M Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

12%

$5.6K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

84%

Anthropic

$34.3K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

63%

Anthropic

$392K Vol.

$55.2K Liq.

51

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

5%

$108K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

75%

Anthropic

$10.9K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

46%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$189K Liq.

19

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

94%

Anthropic

$10.6K Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Llm.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for Llm that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Llm predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.