OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

23%

$47.3K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

11

Ends em 9 meses

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

17%

70%+

$18.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 3 meses

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

46%

50%+

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

7%

$1.1K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

85%

April 15

$6.8K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$217K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

40

Ends há 3 meses

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

80%

April 15

$20.3K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

99%

ChatGPT

$28.8K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 10 horas

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

95%

Claude by Anthropic

$15.7K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 10 horas

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

86%

1560

$500 Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

92%

Anthropic

$5.8K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?

94%

Anthropic

$559 Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.2K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

85%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.7K Vol.

$72.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

78%

1550

$4.0K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%

$2.1K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

87%

1525

$1.0K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

10%

$70.8K Vol.

$24.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

85%

Anthropic

$15.9K Vol.

$80.9K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

90%

Anthropic

$869K Vol.

$149K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Chatgpt.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Chatgpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Chatgpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.