OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins trader sentiment, alongside a May confidential S-1 filing and annualized revenue approaching $24 billion from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs. Persistent unprofitability, with losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue in early 2026, and June reports of a potential 2027 listing to target $1 trillion-plus pricing create valuation dispersion. The tight clustering between $1.0–1.5 trillion and $1.75–2.0 trillion brackets reflects uncertainty over IPO timing, comparable AI multiples, and broader equity-market conditions at debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.0T–$1.25T 16%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$64,646 Vol.
$64,646 Vol.
<$1T
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
16%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
5%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.0T–$1.25T 16%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$64,646 Vol.
$64,646 Vol.
<$1T
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
16%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
5%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, underpins trader sentiment, alongside a May confidential S-1 filing and annualized revenue approaching $24 billion from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs. Persistent unprofitability, with losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue in early 2026, and June reports of a potential 2027 listing to target $1 trillion-plus pricing create valuation dispersion. The tight clustering between $1.0–1.5 trillion and $1.75–2.0 trillion brackets reflects uncertainty over IPO timing, comparable AI multiples, and broader equity-market conditions at debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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