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GPT 5 previsões e probabilidades

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

90%

July 31

$90.4K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

31%

June 1–June 7

$4.8K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

22%

50%+

$23.6K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

70%

60%+

$35.8K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

80%

December 31, 2026

$311K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

45

Ends há 5 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

95%

September 30

$12.0K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

15%

June 30, 2026

$157K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 Vol.

Ends há 9 dias

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$916 Vol.

Ends há 7 dias

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

52%

2

$17.1K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 10 dias

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K Vol.

Ends há 11 dias

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 Vol.

Ends há 10 dias

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Donstu Esports

$2.3K Vol.

Ends há 8 dias

Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?

47%

$0 Vol.

$54 Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

69%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$47.9K Liq.

206

Ends há 21 dias

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

66%

GPT-6 released

$22M Vol.

$54.4K today

$659K Liq.

865

Ends em 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage

100%

Vexa

$81.5K Vol.

$81.5K today

$154K Liq.

Ends há 37 minutos

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

33%

$301K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.