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GPT 5 previsões e probabilidades

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GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

93%

December 31, 2026

$300K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

45

Ends há 4 meses

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

64%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$960K Liq.

61

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

52%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$184K Liq.

19

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$253K Vol.

$828 Liq.

32

Ends há 4 meses

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

62%

$22.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

91%

July 31

$19.6K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

93%

September 30

$6.2K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

99%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$26.2K Vol.

$64.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 1 dia

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

29%

50%+

$21.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

26%

60%+

$30.2K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

85%

$48.0K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K Vol.

Ends há 17 dias

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

16%

June 30, 2026

$152K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

35%

<2

$14.3K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

41%

160-179

$32.8K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

94%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

203

Ends há 7 dias

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

99%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M Vol.

$747K Liq.

826

Ends em 3 meses

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

29%

$299K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

89%

>9

$94.9K Vol.

$56.4K today

$19.8K Liq.

21

Ends em 3 dias

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

68%

<5

$2.5K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-6 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $33.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.