GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$218K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

40

Ends há 3 meses

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

67%

Anthropic

$3M Vol.

$450K Liq.

61

Ends em 3 meses

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

73%

$10.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$252K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

31

Ends há 3 meses

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

52%

Anthropic

$926K Vol.

$190K Liq.

19

Ends em 3 meses

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

95%

June 30

$309K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

6

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$5.7K Vol.

$88.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

95%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$4.5K Vol.

$82.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

46%

50%+

$3.5K Vol.

$712 Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

17%

70%+

$18.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 3 meses

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

13%

June 30, 2026

$131K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

29

Ends em 3 meses

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

6%

$1.2K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

55%

April 17

$2 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

44%

$277K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

51%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$137K Liq.

166

Ends em 26 dias

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

BET-M 33

$8.0K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 15 horas

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

51%

ex-RUBY

$0 Vol.

$284 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

GA-05 House Election Winner

GA-05 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$13.5K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

53%

June 30

$90.0K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 26 dias

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

44%

3

$39 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-6 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.