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GPT 5 previsões e probabilidades

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When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

85%

June 22–June 28

$290K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

97%

July 31

$1M Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

19

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?

95%

Anthropic

$16M Vol.

$309K today

$3M Liq.

62

Ends em 10 dias

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)

94%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$83.6K today

$324K Liq.

19

Ends em 10 dias

GPT-6 lançado por...?

GPT-6 lançado por...?

82%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$369K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

44

Ends há 6 meses

Pontuação OpenAI GPT no Último Exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?

Pontuação OpenAI GPT no Último Exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?

19%

50%+

$26.1K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 10 dias

OpenAI $ 1T+ avaliação em 2026?

OpenAI $ 1T+ avaliação em 2026?

79%

$25.7K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

A OpenAI lançará um produto de hardware de consumo até...?

A OpenAI lançará um produto de hardware de consumo até...?

44%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$256K Vol.

$338 Liq.

32

Ends há 6 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

98%

September 30

$24.9K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 9 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “When will GPT-5.6 be released?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI $ 1T+ avaliação em 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.