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icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

Nenhum lançamento até 31 de julho 100.0%

29 de julho 2.0%

24 de julho <1%

Em ou antes de 1º de julho <1%

Polymarket

$378,664 Vol.

Nenhum lançamento até 31 de julho 100.0%

29 de julho 2.0%

24 de julho <1%

Em ou antes de 1º de julho <1%

Polymarket

$378,664 Vol.

Em ou antes de 1º de julho

$787 Vol.

Não

2 de julho

$487 Vol.

Não

3 de julho

$682 Vol.

Não

4 de julho

$303 Vol.

Não

5 de julho

$328 Vol.

Não

6 de julho

$2,697 Vol.

Não

7 de julho

$807 Vol.

Não

8 de julho

$1,024 Vol.

Não

9 de julho

$3,656 Vol.

Não

10 de julho

$303 Vol.

Não

11 de julho

$1,207 Vol.

Não

12 de julho

$1,327 Vol.

Não

13 de julho

$1,392 Vol.

Não

14 de julho

$7,616 Vol.

Não

July 15

$11,602 Vol.

No

16 de julho

$9,277 Vol.

Não

17 de julho

$75,726 Vol.

Não

18 de julho

$6,225 Vol.

Não

19 de julho

$4,304 Vol.

Não

20 de julho

$5,578 Vol.

Não

21 de julho

$10,778 Vol.

Não

22 de julho

$6,122 Vol.

Não

23 de julho

$8,313 Vol.

Não

24 de julho

$21,852 Vol.

Não

July 25

$4,154 Vol.

No

26 de julho

$4,228 Vol.

Não

27 de julho

$3,640 Vol.

Não

28 de julho

$7,123 Vol.

Não

29 de julho

$10,441 Vol.

Não

30 de julho

$24,885 Vol.

Não

31 de julho

$7,950 Vol.

Não

Nenhum lançamento até 31 de julho

$133,852 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$378,664
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's lack of any official announcement, developer preview, or model update for the next Gemini Pro large language model by the July 31 deadline has driven near-certain trader consensus on no release. The company typically aligns major Gemini iterations with scheduled events like Google I/O or fall hardware launches rather than unteased summer drops, and recent credible reporting has shown no indications of accelerated timelines or internal readiness. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of historical release patterns and absence of verifiable signals. A surprise late-July launch that evaded all public channels could theoretically shift outcomes, though such an event appears highly improbable given standard Google disclosure practices.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$378,664
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum lançamento até 31 de julho" at 100%, followed by "Em ou antes de 1º de julho" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" has generated $378.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is "Nenhum lançamento até 31 de julho" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Em ou antes de 1º de julho" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.